Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2023-02-02

Model: ARC-MFC PHYS (TOPAZ)

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-06

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 281 2 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 6 15 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 3 39 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 6 18 26 0 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 30 47 5 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 156 1403 7915 26828
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 199 2 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 2 16 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 4 32 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 1 18 22 0 0 0
CDI 0 21 5 12 41 10 0 0
VCDI 0 14 7 49 170 1398 7915 26828

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 106 756 2271
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 106 756 2271

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 339 9643
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 339 9643

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 8 3 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 318 1963 3321
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 8 2 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 319 1963 3321

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7246

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5326
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5326

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 0 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 4 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 1 10 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 6 3 19 4 20 1 6
VCDI 0 0 0 36 126 253 2276 3406
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 80 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 0 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 1 2 0 2 0 0
CDI 0 14 2 5 2 22 84 15
VCDI 0 10 5 59 128 250 2193 3397

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4266 4426 46 178 7 0 0 0
OW 0 86 20 136 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 13 116 176 2 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 42 221 32 0 0
CDI 0 8 3 14 141 85 6 0
VCDI 0 0 1 29 120 718 357 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4260 4316 35 148 11 0 0 0
OW 6 135 26 98 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 10 132 79 3 0 0
ODI 0 20 9 60 142 15 0 0
CDI 0 14 0 35 159 61 3 0
VCDI 0 10 4 42 280 758 360 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6046 2514 3 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 210 8 28 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 8 81 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 7 74 38 0 0 0
CDI 0 10 3 68 98 22 0 0
VCDI 0 1 1 38 209 1224 864 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6046 2301 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 195 6 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 176 6 40 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 78 4 60 20 0 0 0
CDI 0 57 7 63 41 8 0 0
VCDI 0 50 7 117 291 1238 864 0

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8589 2952 17 79 73 24 0 0
OW 0 131 22 25 10 5 0 0
VODI 0 70 18 65 23 5 0 0
ODI 0 4 10 48 60 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 88 49 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 98 261 200 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8589 2920 24 89 78 28 0 0
OW 0 111 13 32 22 4 0 0
VODI 0 80 14 22 47 7 0 0
ODI 0 33 7 43 23 34 0 0
CDI 0 13 9 52 46 36 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 136 238 191 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 19 3 34 19 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 17 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 11 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 8 19 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 621 2903 2102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 19 3 33 19 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 16 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 11 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 9 18 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 620 2901 2102

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 223 1736 6628
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 223 1736 6628

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11293 4166 71 283 34 0 0 0
OW 0 22 14 189 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 94 222 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 241 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 238 214 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 157 1875 999 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11293 4127 73 332 63 0 0 0
OW 0 61 10 125 124 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 108 209 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 214 109 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 187 346 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 147 1636 987 0


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