Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 575 1633 11 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 159 4 37 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 10 53 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 60 13 90 26 5 0 0
CDI 0 5 6 69 39 90 51 10
VCDI 0 0 1 91 325 1930 7115 19520
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 307 1722 16 41 3 0 0 0
OW 0 127 13 62 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 6 107 51 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 0 24 91 1 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 11 135 67 22 17
VCDI 0 5 2 41 159 958 8371 19642
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 1901 16 45 6 0 0 0
OW 0 114 15 46 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 13 118 86 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 31 128 10 0 0
CDI 0 13 0 5 77 115 15 2
VCDI 0 17 6 41 116 664 3256 25133
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 1761 18 70 48 0 0 0
OW 0 117 13 39 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 12 90 102 8 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 33 121 33 0 0
CDI 0 8 0 12 82 139 37 2
VCDI 0 13 5 44 96 765 5961 22376
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 1773 18 69 50 0 0 0
OW 0 92 12 40 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 13 79 104 3 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 44 115 44 2 0
CDI 0 8 0 13 81 147 38 2
VCDI 0 13 5 43 104 751 5958 22376

Date: 2022-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1758 26 71 59 0 0 0
OW 0 134 8 46 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 15 77 60 2 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 74 95 21 0 0
CDI 0 12 1 17 125 77 14 41
VCDI 0 29 7 45 151 712 7333 20975
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1781 25 70 58 0 0 0
OW 0 95 10 43 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 15 74 53 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 76 100 20 0 0
CDI 0 12 1 22 119 75 11 36
VCDI 0 29 7 45 164 717 7336 20980

Date: 2022-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 1815 28 102 69 0 0 0
OW 0 71 12 59 20 2 0 0
VODI 0 15 11 103 47 11 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 18 154 45 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 9 76 204 43 4
VCDI 0 0 0 21 71 291 6265 22486
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 1705 24 97 66 0 0 0
OW 0 107 6 33 31 2 0 0
VODI 0 71 13 60 56 16 0 0
ODI 0 18 6 62 78 63 0 0
CDI 0 11 3 28 64 100 40 23
VCDI 0 2 2 32 142 372 6268 22467

Date: 2022-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1801 33 94 63 2 0 0
OW 0 62 19 102 20 9 0 0
VODI 0 14 6 100 76 12 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 32 117 60 0 0
CDI 0 8 1 12 109 232 14 8
VCDI 0 4 2 28 97 571 6998 21367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1705 31 101 68 8 0 0
OW 0 107 9 70 29 13 0 0
VODI 0 56 15 90 69 28 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 55 93 78 0 0
CDI 0 8 1 17 95 131 3 0
VCDI 0 10 3 35 128 628 7009 21375

Date: 2022-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 1846 24 72 80 0 0 0
OW 0 108 16 79 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 7 78 79 10 0 0
ODI 0 24 4 59 139 39 0 0
CDI 0 16 2 44 129 188 59 8
VCDI 0 13 2 62 215 1080 8253 19241
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 1717 25 87 83 0 0 0
OW 0 184 7 54 41 3 0 0
VODI 0 98 11 70 84 33 0 0
ODI 0 32 6 42 103 56 0 0
CDI 0 24 3 48 111 122 24 1
VCDI 0 23 3 93 249 1103 8288 19248


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