Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90341 7591 43 228 153 29 0 0
OW 6 138 14 68 41 57 1 0
VODI 0 85 3 102 76 81 0 0
ODI 0 41 6 72 75 44 3 0
CDI 0 10 6 69 167 96 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 43 239 990 3458 4698
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90572 7255 52 246 135 43 0 0
OW 8 194 17 46 40 43 0 0
VODI 0 113 5 98 67 54 0 0
ODI 0 66 2 67 82 56 0 0
CDI 0 75 8 37 152 74 10 0
VCDI 0 76 11 135 295 1143 3382 4441
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88657 9081 72 508 120 7 0 0
OW 12 106 11 105 53 9 0 0
VODI 0 76 6 95 84 14 0 0
ODI 0 48 1 55 108 33 0 0
CDI 0 49 4 47 201 114 0 0
VCDI 0 20 4 81 241 1011 3497 4570
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88748 8866 59 349 225 9 0 0
OW 15 169 11 143 118 17 0 0
VODI 0 91 15 89 57 18 0 0
ODI 0 48 4 64 76 25 0 0
CDI 0 51 5 64 128 58 0 0
VCDI 0 77 8 113 378 1408 3129 4465
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88748 8887 59 376 294 12 0 0
OW 15 170 12 113 51 15 0 0
VODI 0 84 12 88 54 18 0 0
ODI 0 41 7 65 74 25 0 0
CDI 0 50 4 72 121 52 0 0
VCDI 0 70 8 108 388 1413 3129 4465

Date: 2022-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88029 8752 67 362 158 16 0 0
OW 18 246 35 295 344 29 0 0
VODI 0 79 6 189 211 67 0 0
ODI 0 42 2 66 97 29 0 0
CDI 0 39 5 42 185 102 0 0
VCDI 0 60 7 47 228 869 3709 4668
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88030 8862 78 424 364 28 0 0
OW 17 148 23 224 231 41 0 0
VODI 0 76 7 201 120 49 0 0
ODI 0 37 3 64 93 26 0 0
CDI 0 37 4 43 194 86 0 0
VCDI 0 58 7 45 221 882 3709 4668

Date: 2022-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87324 8949 86 373 109 0 0 0
OW 20 129 24 291 126 5 0 0
VODI 0 48 8 228 362 26 0 0
ODI 0 30 1 59 490 430 0 0
CDI 0 28 1 12 207 245 1 0
VCDI 0 33 9 62 152 1115 4262 3855
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87325 8781 80 480 246 4 0 0
OW 19 201 24 211 320 86 0 0
VODI 0 79 8 149 324 300 0 0
ODI 0 35 4 62 140 170 0 0
CDI 0 42 3 49 190 120 12 0
VCDI 0 79 10 74 226 1141 4251 3855

Date: 2022-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85744 9461 84 436 139 1 0 0
OW 27 275 35 314 117 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 9 225 304 15 0 0
ODI 0 17 8 76 353 47 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 65 377 273 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 320 1834 3842 4584
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85744 9255 89 417 170 2 0 0
OW 27 348 23 306 176 10 0 0
VODI 0 188 16 226 306 56 0 0
ODI 0 29 6 101 356 88 3 0
CDI 0 2 3 69 335 371 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 267 1643 3817 4584


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