Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2078 5756 82 400 45 0 0 0
OW 2 461 92 760 110 2 0 0
VODI 0 164 49 856 578 22 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 183 1397 800 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 104 3308 9676 2304 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 2153 622 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2693 5485 64 303 16 0 0 0
OW 2 661 83 659 50 2 0 0
VODI 0 189 52 857 489 22 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 266 1624 713 9 0
CDI 0 2 2 101 3077 11013 1775 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 449 1243 178 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3788 5078 54 241 2 0 0 0
OW 38 556 99 464 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 46 1022 259 5 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 226 2993 367 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 57 2796 10896 1801 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 341 842 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4144 4940 43 205 6 0 0 0
OW 1 703 62 368 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 243 62 774 356 11 0 0
ODI 0 33 11 248 2540 1032 42 0
CDI 0 7 3 45 2496 9443 3538 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 36 594 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4144 5076 54 282 21 0 0 0
OW 1 561 53 315 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 248 64 726 289 10 0 0
ODI 0 32 6 266 2434 1208 24 0
CDI 0 9 4 51 2674 9228 3497 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 76 653 0

Date: 2022-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5212 4146 33 193 4 0 0 0
OW 48 884 39 254 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 366 57 678 289 5 0 0
ODI 0 52 11 266 2331 1516 75 0
CDI 0 14 5 55 1996 8733 4516 42
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 5 216 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5239 4266 43 273 7 0 0 0
OW 21 717 26 199 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 399 59 627 258 18 0 0
ODI 0 57 11 295 2194 1427 45 0
CDI 0 23 6 52 2163 8813 4506 31
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 1 256 11

Date: 2022-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5482 5264 30 106 33 0 0 0
OW 1 450 69 202 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 49 791 192 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 131 2379 269 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 1733 9199 1838 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 176 3447 37
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5478 4536 33 117 38 0 0 0
OW 5 698 25 178 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 498 59 497 229 22 0 0
ODI 0 125 30 377 1920 1677 186 0
CDI 0 20 5 85 2068 7945 5072 33
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 0 27 4

Date: 2022-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6040 5221 29 77 42 0 0 0
OW 1 420 64 173 13 1 0 0
VODI 0 218 60 587 319 4 0 0
ODI 0 13 7 183 1972 518 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 1379 9358 2194 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 333 2753 42
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6022 4488 25 67 47 0 0 0
OW 19 615 27 122 24 1 0 0
VODI 0 590 65 363 231 48 0 0
ODI 0 143 34 366 1674 2291 165 0
CDI 0 36 9 159 1654 7866 4738 40
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 8 44 2

Date: 2022-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6131 5447 32 65 40 0 0 0
OW 1 593 58 180 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 269 46 518 325 9 0 0
ODI 0 12 15 267 2017 661 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 1924 9045 1763 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1932 662 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6121 4701 21 49 43 0 0 0
OW 11 701 25 71 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 700 64 335 230 87 0 0
ODI 0 182 29 487 2091 2448 169 0
CDI 0 37 12 134 1910 8997 2197 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 115 59 0


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