Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85459 10332 96 341 30 0 0 0
OW 6 221 51 414 158 1 0 0
VODI 0 74 18 356 611 32 0 0
ODI 0 21 6 91 696 305 0 0
CDI 0 3 3 86 815 2909 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 5183 717 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86917 8904 89 386 50 0 0 0
OW 6 273 44 440 162 1 0 0
VODI 0 103 23 323 589 64 0 0
ODI 0 17 3 116 600 459 0 0
CDI 0 3 3 141 941 2635 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 87 4484 1237 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87115 9087 107 345 28 0 0 0
OW 4 207 54 402 75 1 0 0
VODI 0 61 13 490 312 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 135 1102 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 123 1042 3247 96 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 61 4186 750 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87347 9142 69 291 37 0 0 0
OW 4 284 56 354 87 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 22 500 373 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 161 888 223 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 134 834 3409 127 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 82 2440 2159 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87347 9198 74 311 38 0 0 0
OW 4 230 56 399 99 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 13 478 423 1 0 0
ODI 0 6 6 106 808 273 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 144 852 3481 148 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 81 2318 2138 0

Date: 2022-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87605 9242 44 179 56 1 0 0
OW 18 422 50 212 80 1 0 0
VODI 1 110 28 471 364 12 0 0
ODI 0 9 5 203 869 202 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 123 1107 3309 114 0
VCDI 0 1 0 5 210 3899 147 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87608 9316 54 182 56 0 0 0
OW 15 368 43 278 102 1 0 0
VODI 1 84 24 466 399 16 0 0
ODI 0 14 4 129 817 218 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 131 1133 3449 127 0
VCDI 0 1 0 7 179 3740 134 0

Date: 2022-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89020 8453 57 215 47 0 0 0
OW 6 227 58 308 40 1 0 0
VODI 0 14 7 576 318 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 120 1204 151 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 1723 3148 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 196 2812 334 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89017 8240 51 214 60 0 0 0
OW 9 325 33 304 115 1 0 0
VODI 0 86 32 463 441 5 0 0
ODI 0 28 2 113 717 168 0 0
CDI 0 15 4 162 1858 2619 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 337 3324 268 0

Date: 2022-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90409 7540 52 246 8 0 0 0
OW 1 188 38 359 63 1 0 0
VODI 0 31 10 298 530 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 145 941 214 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 2668 2846 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 195 2187 58 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90393 7263 49 297 31 0 0 0
OW 17 296 22 237 139 1 0 0
VODI 0 121 20 260 560 10 0 0
ODI 0 46 2 97 539 192 0 0
CDI 0 33 9 214 2716 2673 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 420 2377 53 0

Date: 2022-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90661 7462 67 338 15 0 0 0
OW 0 206 33 368 73 1 0 0
VODI 0 37 11 345 435 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 134 846 192 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 78 1826 4318 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 96 1524 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90658 7072 67 408 26 0 0 0
OW 3 327 23 302 131 1 0 0
VODI 0 181 9 246 445 26 0 0
ODI 0 66 3 88 514 170 0 0
CDI 0 59 10 219 1994 4173 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 181 1687 5 0


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