Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84707 10057 110 432 41 0 0 0
OW 9 173 46 582 204 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 7 443 743 11 0 0
ODI 0 28 6 116 850 419 0 0
CDI 0 34 7 109 946 962 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 209 5269 2456 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85126 9926 91 411 26 0 0 0
OW 9 204 48 515 253 5 0 0
VODI 0 110 13 402 765 63 0 0
ODI 0 36 10 114 579 476 0 0
CDI 0 26 6 127 1130 897 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 188 5452 2061 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85518 10173 68 226 5 0 0 0
OW 7 254 86 391 75 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 22 520 440 5 0 0
ODI 0 23 7 130 932 150 0 0
CDI 0 5 3 61 836 2321 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 89 4472 2157 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85488 10345 92 275 19 0 0 0
OW 6 214 64 408 120 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 15 390 567 41 0 0
ODI 0 27 3 93 717 268 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 54 799 2983 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 129 4912 999 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85488 10339 108 321 43 0 0 0
OW 6 212 47 368 154 7 0 0
VODI 0 73 15 387 566 75 0 0
ODI 0 25 4 90 665 234 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 54 798 3014 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 125 4874 999 0

Date: 2022-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86192 9597 89 369 39 0 0 0
OW 6 266 43 437 144 3 0 0
VODI 0 91 20 379 567 47 0 0
ODI 0 17 3 99 693 353 0 0
CDI 0 3 3 120 896 2662 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 124 4828 992 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86192 9628 98 434 73 0 0 0
OW 6 233 37 384 182 15 0 0
VODI 0 93 17 375 569 77 0 0
ODI 0 17 2 94 607 235 0 0
CDI 0 3 4 117 906 2915 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 126 4651 994 0

Date: 2022-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86980 9041 94 319 35 0 0 0
OW 5 222 59 448 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 14 441 337 13 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 91 1114 62 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 126 977 3418 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 2922 2196 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86979 8965 108 470 118 0 0 0
OW 6 223 34 379 228 13 0 0
VODI 0 100 19 285 599 76 0 0
ODI 0 22 4 114 486 339 0 0
CDI 0 11 5 177 1052 2819 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 104 3168 2191 0

Date: 2022-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87162 9139 94 338 46 0 0 0
OW 4 220 47 406 103 1 0 0
VODI 0 72 14 489 343 7 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 149 1060 63 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 135 934 3446 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 89 2925 1781 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87162 9019 104 473 142 0 0 0
OW 4 266 33 409 209 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 13 374 497 12 0 0
ODI 0 26 3 91 596 259 0 0
CDI 0 13 5 167 1012 3229 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 119 2942 1760 0

Date: 2022-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86695 9963 59 242 32 1 0 0
OW 2 421 49 239 80 1 0 0
VODI 0 109 29 533 310 2 0 0
ODI 0 10 4 223 905 133 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 118 846 3288 225 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 111 3354 1116 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86693 9853 77 337 142 0 0 0
OW 4 394 35 323 186 20 0 0
VODI 0 183 16 374 298 13 0 0
ODI 0 39 8 153 528 211 0 0
CDI 0 34 5 168 995 3351 349 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 135 3184 992 0


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