Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69289 14364 150 769 343 36 0 0
OW 60 384 51 539 463 36 3 0
VODI 0 117 32 361 814 127 8 0
ODI 0 6 6 113 645 356 17 0
CDI 0 0 2 70 779 1202 207 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 361 3257 8514 5611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69106 14443 164 888 371 59 0 0
OW 60 351 46 571 548 44 0 0
VODI 0 145 30 344 678 192 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 153 543 433 14 0
CDI 0 2 1 80 652 1159 350 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 300 2482 8719 6150
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68276 15204 166 860 422 45 0 0
OW 64 242 64 554 473 24 0 0
VODI 0 32 12 384 970 96 4 0
ODI 0 5 1 113 749 364 30 0
CDI 0 1 2 32 679 1484 281 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 158 2904 8372 6033
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68421 14900 173 930 441 53 0 0
OW 60 264 54 549 534 44 0 0
VODI 0 38 18 340 895 179 10 0
ODI 0 3 2 115 598 406 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 747 1342 329 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 262 4338 7663 5322
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68421 14951 187 1006 500 50 0 0
OW 60 210 39 471 477 51 0 0
VODI 0 41 19 343 828 165 11 0
ODI 0 3 2 116 673 462 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 741 1311 301 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 258 4323 7682 5322

Date: 2022-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68331 14637 184 1113 608 51 1 0
OW 60 316 48 483 584 45 11 0
VODI 0 72 23 254 889 245 39 0
ODI 0 8 3 86 611 395 43 0
CDI 0 7 4 44 790 1226 293 0
VCDI 0 23 4 49 420 4298 7372 5430
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68331 14651 193 1195 675 59 3 0
OW 60 304 40 384 519 57 20 0
VODI 0 69 21 276 837 204 37 0
ODI 0 9 3 84 670 458 44 0
CDI 0 7 5 41 775 1136 323 0
VCDI 0 23 4 49 426 4346 7332 5430

Date: 2022-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68633 14773 166 876 428 42 0 0
OW 60 194 55 567 359 44 1 0
VODI 0 18 11 374 827 71 12 0
ODI 0 8 1 81 1054 303 31 0
CDI 0 15 3 29 746 1773 198 0
VCDI 0 25 1 57 409 4257 6332 6266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68633 14565 171 1143 685 80 2 0
OW 60 317 36 270 522 84 20 0
VODI 0 82 15 328 727 229 42 0
ODI 0 20 5 103 626 418 54 0
CDI 0 7 6 72 726 1486 427 0
VCDI 0 42 4 68 537 4193 6029 6266

Date: 2022-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68169 15196 169 1031 438 77 0 0
OW 59 135 55 451 443 93 11 0
VODI 0 4 5 322 897 175 34 0
ODI 0 0 0 90 696 381 76 0
CDI 0 7 2 18 716 1925 296 0
VCDI 0 13 2 62 271 4073 6554 6154
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68169 14727 168 1139 691 153 17 0
OW 59 424 34 261 437 139 43 0
VODI 0 173 18 304 723 259 60 0
ODI 0 11 9 129 592 488 75 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 652 1788 370 0
VCDI 0 20 4 96 366 3897 6406 6154

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68693 14918 170 818 482 86 1 0
OW 59 220 52 509 378 89 20 0
VODI 0 31 21 307 776 204 44 0
ODI 0 0 0 120 667 421 92 0
CDI 0 4 2 25 670 2171 319 0
VCDI 0 6 2 62 223 3746 6462 6230
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68681 14555 177 1014 741 175 25 0
OW 71 342 34 287 429 146 48 0
VODI 0 266 24 256 615 352 69 0
ODI 0 6 8 161 429 568 91 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 643 1531 323 0
VCDI 0 10 4 82 339 3945 6382 6230


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