Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 30 15 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 15 29 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 28 41 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 34 34 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 18 119 100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 903 10439 20222
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 19 23 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 5 27 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 33 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 30 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 49 73 13 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 33 329 7466 23910
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 3 26 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 7 26 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 36 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 32 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 42 101 62 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 307 9139 22200
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 0 0 18 1 0 0
OW 0 17 1 4 18 3 0 0
VODI 0 15 4 13 30 6 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 17 50 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 66 192 28 47
VCDI 0 0 0 7 186 2903 7490 20897
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 12 0 1 20 1 0 0
OW 0 9 1 3 18 2 0 0
VODI 0 17 2 13 26 7 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 17 53 37 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 63 195 28 51
VCDI 0 0 0 4 188 2903 7490 20893

Date: 2022-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 0 14 5 0 0 0
OW 0 59 2 10 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 12 40 56 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 44 100 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 159 182 6 54
VCDI 0 0 0 51 358 3875 8952 18022
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 24 0 16 5 0 0 0
OW 0 38 5 11 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 8 36 31 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 48 106 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 189 186 6 52
VCDI 0 0 0 56 347 3875 8952 18024

Date: 2022-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 2 12 5 0 0 0
OW 0 4 4 59 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 62 61 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 119 31 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 143 220 51 73
VCDI 0 0 0 0 210 2872 10771 17274
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 0 11 6 0 0 0
OW 0 36 2 21 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 2 49 25 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 40 90 24 4 10
CDI 0 0 0 13 165 169 56 127
VCDI 0 0 0 24 256 2932 10764 17210

Date: 2022-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 37 5 8 16 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 18 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 22 69 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 80 83 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 109 434 132 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 109 2283 11233 17371
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 0 0 17 0 0 0
OW 0 22 2 6 23 3 0 0
VODI 0 13 5 22 36 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 67 91 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 135 321 116 10
VCDI 0 0 0 11 161 2370 11236 17361

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 5 8 6 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 26 39 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 71 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 80 64 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 157 453 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 202 3465 10411 16941
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 12 2 0 0
OW 0 16 2 2 18 5 0 0
VODI 0 25 5 16 64 26 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 110 53 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 182 324 154 44
VCDI 0 0 0 0 169 3598 10328 16897


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