Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 148 6 23 6 0 0 0
OW 0 56 0 8 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 7 12 7 2 0 0
ODI 0 28 1 14 4 8 0 0
CDI 0 31 2 18 11 49 0 20
VCDI 0 189 18 144 260 613 5044 25295
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 142 7 24 10 0 0 0
OW 0 51 3 10 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 3 15 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 1 4 9 1 0 0
CDI 0 45 2 14 13 77 30 24
VCDI 0 234 22 163 271 678 6066 24071
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 239 9 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 5 15 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 1 17 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 1 12 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 38 2 8 43 33 7 0
VCDI 0 241 22 184 324 1075 5614 24045
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 235 8 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 3 9 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 4 9 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 43 3 20 14 3 0 0
CDI 0 41 2 37 95 125 119 9
VCDI 0 313 27 181 421 1494 10694 18039
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 233 8 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 3 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 4 8 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 3 18 13 0 0 0
CDI 0 40 4 41 79 115 113 8
VCDI 0 304 25 179 438 1507 10700 18040

Date: 2022-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 210 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 0 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 4 31 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 3 46 67 11 0 0
CDI 0 62 7 69 149 99 84 42
VCDI 0 327 26 175 524 1869 10877 17194
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 221 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 0 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 4 32 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 66 4 46 53 12 1 0
CDI 0 64 7 63 161 97 80 43
VCDI 0 301 25 181 523 1870 10880 17193

Date: 2022-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 213 10 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 5 20 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 137 14 46 20 4 0 0
ODI 0 57 6 58 135 31 0 0
CDI 0 61 6 46 184 311 62 9
VCDI 0 23 2 29 179 1282 8116 20936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 11 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 3 14 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 2 17 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 4 24 30 13 0 0
CDI 0 53 8 27 88 148 36 23
VCDI 0 193 15 116 385 1467 8142 20922

Date: 2022-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 157 14 44 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 2 16 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 3 53 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 89 1 58 24 8 1 0
CDI 0 97 7 63 109 96 43 8
VCDI 0 104 13 131 379 1706 7681 21069
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 127 12 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 1 19 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 5 13 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 1 10 14 1 0 0
CDI 0 39 1 52 26 69 22 3
VCDI 0 261 20 236 474 1740 7703 21074

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 107 8 41 12 0 0 0
OW 0 34 7 17 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 4 24 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 0 18 38 12 0 0
CDI 0 50 0 12 65 97 62 0
VCDI 0 92 10 86 226 1057 7301 22616
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 89 7 30 7 0 0 0
OW 0 37 3 17 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 8 22 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 1 14 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 31 1 22 36 29 36 14
VCDI 0 138 9 93 290 1137 7327 22602


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