Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-03-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67193 14329 126 835 579 94 21 0
OW 54 695 54 273 344 45 18 0
VODI 0 508 42 318 437 94 28 0
ODI 0 181 44 239 453 187 36 0
CDI 0 93 23 292 761 745 81 20
VCDI 0 340 34 587 1595 6332 17801 71117
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67995 13944 124 721 483 109 0 0
OW 55 724 48 270 282 115 0 0
VODI 0 467 62 350 361 177 0 0
ODI 0 186 28 302 355 249 15 0
CDI 0 95 18 332 776 658 112 24
VCDI 0 434 48 493 1543 6500 18766 69827
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68502 14227 152 968 528 91 0 0
OW 63 535 76 345 339 66 0 0
VODI 4 220 56 480 567 145 0 0
ODI 0 47 14 285 667 231 0 0
CDI 0 50 4 108 959 907 33 0
VCDI 0 607 55 409 1512 9475 20449 63872
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68310 13864 173 1041 707 190 0 0
OW 73 664 42 363 383 150 0 0
VODI 9 229 49 403 556 256 7 0
ODI 0 111 13 213 698 366 22 0
CDI 0 104 6 117 1049 1194 282 9
VCDI 0 713 55 400 2038 8559 23106 60524
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68314 13796 172 1031 721 202 0 0
OW 70 675 40 345 362 124 0 0
VODI 8 291 47 399 548 254 7 0
ODI 0 120 15 232 691 354 22 0
CDI 0 121 11 121 1033 1143 257 8
VCDI 0 682 53 409 2076 8638 23131 60525

Date: 2022-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67770 13751 172 1162 872 228 3 0
OW 57 718 28 335 391 245 8 0
VODI 0 301 39 390 545 364 23 0
ODI 0 166 16 201 671 462 23 0
CDI 0 139 15 155 1003 1377 245 42
VCDI 0 704 55 413 1501 7808 24887 59763
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67771 13754 172 1186 865 245 3 0
OW 56 628 27 316 388 216 9 0
VODI 0 392 34 373 526 379 19 0
ODI 0 189 19 211 648 455 22 0
CDI 0 147 18 140 1114 1308 229 44
VCDI 0 669 55 430 1442 7881 24907 59761

Date: 2022-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68130 13958 158 949 659 139 3 0
OW 56 590 53 428 392 82 0 0
VODI 0 293 48 530 626 211 0 0
ODI 0 200 41 233 927 488 11 0
CDI 0 260 23 220 1135 1937 250 9
VCDI 0 126 12 144 996 6961 22270 63500
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68134 13357 162 1062 900 203 3 0
OW 52 675 34 283 374 263 0 0
VODI 0 480 35 356 434 404 17 0
ODI 0 201 22 222 454 476 44 0
CDI 0 164 23 159 1044 1220 204 23
VCDI 0 550 59 422 1529 7252 22266 63486

Date: 2022-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68425 14072 165 884 528 71 0 0
OW 52 678 71 538 331 85 0 0
VODI 0 224 34 449 669 173 4 0
ODI 0 140 23 205 699 287 92 0
CDI 0 104 11 177 841 1058 355 10
VCDI 0 454 42 376 998 8128 22938 62657
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68424 13621 169 924 713 122 13 0
OW 53 603 41 378 347 199 14 0
VODI 0 422 37 342 554 231 30 0
ODI 0 250 18 206 461 297 56 0
CDI 0 141 26 242 630 667 332 10
VCDI 0 635 55 537 1361 8286 22944 62657

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68286 13664 144 825 641 118 0 0
OW 52 564 67 418 391 160 0 0
VODI 0 267 36 549 612 244 3 0
ODI 0 100 17 246 595 492 53 1
CDI 0 54 7 142 641 1299 395 28
VCDI 0 264 36 339 1120 8127 26982 59069
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68285 13369 149 861 833 345 10 0
OW 53 533 47 377 333 249 12 0
VODI 0 324 34 359 466 338 19 0
ODI 0 204 13 215 417 425 35 0
CDI 0 170 26 251 549 1107 340 39
VCDI 0 313 38 456 1402 7976 27017 59059


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 01 Apr 2022 03:02:51 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy