Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68593 14899 172 953 402 55 24 0
OW 61 448 38 318 271 44 11 0
VODI 0 267 46 350 435 122 17 0
ODI 0 86 24 280 469 147 30 0
CDI 0 34 6 189 869 368 98 0
VCDI 0 357 23 280 1849 3454 7794 5217
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68380 14741 183 893 498 71 33 0
OW 61 468 50 292 276 57 18 0
VODI 0 278 40 307 436 107 26 0
ODI 0 61 19 244 448 167 51 0
CDI 0 21 3 130 618 490 108 0
VCDI 0 3 0 159 1358 4548 7872 5585
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67863 15496 191 904 372 48 25 0
OW 61 315 64 502 263 28 13 0
VODI 0 121 31 409 563 97 17 0
ODI 0 30 8 214 570 187 33 0
CDI 0 1 3 76 781 488 120 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 1048 4445 7458 6242
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67696 15182 185 944 425 46 21 0
OW 61 408 50 410 371 31 11 0
VODI 0 230 42 405 478 94 9 0
ODI 0 72 11 247 548 232 27 0
CDI 0 23 6 160 744 495 134 0
VCDI 0 2 0 107 1234 3939 7436 6584
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67696 15194 187 1000 439 46 21 0
OW 61 381 45 374 396 29 7 0
VODI 0 240 45 363 478 106 10 0
ODI 0 73 13 267 535 219 25 0
CDI 0 27 3 148 720 524 140 0
VCDI 0 2 1 121 1232 3913 7435 6584

Date: 2022-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67940 14675 166 940 436 30 1 0
OW 58 425 57 397 387 46 6 0
VODI 0 227 36 302 546 125 6 0
ODI 0 119 10 140 515 210 14 0
CDI 0 77 17 167 668 603 149 0
VCDI 0 17 3 182 1047 3934 7932 6490
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67940 14675 180 982 467 33 1 0
OW 58 394 40 378 395 47 5 0
VODI 0 234 40 285 526 136 5 0
ODI 0 125 10 133 530 216 19 0
CDI 0 82 12 128 634 577 139 0
VCDI 0 30 7 222 1047 3939 7939 6490

Date: 2022-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68185 14913 160 849 338 9 0 0
OW 54 477 49 403 305 30 0 0
VODI 0 270 25 353 484 70 0 0
ODI 0 138 23 147 549 161 0 0
CDI 0 60 23 140 761 552 28 0
VCDI 0 5 2 149 1371 4664 7624 5729
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68185 14585 166 865 432 28 0 0
OW 54 484 33 365 330 74 0 0
VODI 0 331 31 259 461 107 0 0
ODI 0 190 9 170 429 163 2 0
CDI 0 174 20 106 565 436 27 0
VCDI 0 99 23 276 1591 4678 7623 5729

Date: 2022-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68873 13980 149 793 477 41 0 0
OW 68 599 51 276 278 78 0 0
VODI 3 338 29 347 392 102 8 0
ODI 0 154 21 160 438 139 23 0
CDI 0 95 13 170 670 508 71 0
VCDI 0 16 7 254 2075 3504 8988 4912
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68868 13638 147 858 585 103 2 0
OW 69 591 42 209 306 106 2 0
VODI 7 409 38 263 408 117 18 0
ODI 0 204 14 199 373 224 32 0
CDI 0 170 16 136 621 559 50 0
VCDI 0 170 13 335 2037 3263 8986 4912

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68703 14011 134 766 359 36 0 0
OW 63 735 46 278 244 71 0 0
VODI 0 464 38 354 411 109 0 0
ODI 0 163 25 219 525 144 11 0
CDI 0 100 8 233 925 578 74 0
VCDI 0 79 18 277 1473 3719 9550 4157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68710 13794 140 866 464 96 0 0
OW 56 682 36 228 296 91 0 0
VODI 0 467 38 239 439 149 3 0
ODI 0 206 18 194 437 275 14 0
CDI 0 133 11 170 782 594 105 0
VCDI 0 270 26 430 1519 3452 9513 4157


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