Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-12-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 490 16 80 23 0 0 0
OW 0 111 11 50 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 8 57 60 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 6 72 91 3 0 0
CDI 0 8 5 79 115 26 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 267 908 5811 23611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 407 17 107 18 0 0 0
OW 0 111 9 63 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 8 77 60 2 0 0
ODI 0 23 4 58 82 13 0 0
CDI 0 15 3 36 147 69 14 1
VCDI 0 10 1 27 314 853 6178 23247
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 480 14 74 6 0 0 0
OW 0 110 17 82 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 5 118 97 3 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 56 92 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 129 98 64 18
VCDI 0 0 0 16 346 963 6937 22219
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 360 17 63 2 0 0 0
OW 0 62 12 99 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 8 150 107 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 43 140 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 133 106 2 11
VCDI 0 0 0 1 124 701 5624 24241
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 364 22 94 2 0 0 0
OW 0 53 9 97 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 6 116 123 11 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 44 95 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 128 92 4 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 146 698 5622 24245

Date: 2021-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 217 5 34 21 0 0 0
OW 0 16 1 105 39 6 0 0
VODI 0 11 2 62 130 17 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 16 173 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 89 160 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 98 620 3755 26427
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 217 5 74 28 1 0 0
OW 0 17 1 85 27 7 0 0
VODI 0 10 2 41 170 24 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 16 136 57 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 84 117 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 105 647 3752 26427

Date: 2021-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 163 12 43 2 0 0 0
OW 0 9 5 26 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 23 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 124 99 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 145 279 1 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 623 4131 26281
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 156 11 45 1 0 0 0
OW 0 11 5 20 22 44 0 0
VODI 0 9 1 25 64 53 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 11 75 69 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 123 211 6 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 80 624 4126 26281

Date: 2021-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 168 3 12 1 0 0 0
OW 0 21 0 12 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 1 7 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 8 37 3 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 16 43 142 29 26
VCDI 0 0 0 39 124 1106 5972 24252
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 155 1 11 3 0 0 0
OW 0 25 2 8 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 1 8 25 41 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 10 34 57 28 0
CDI 0 7 0 10 25 109 69 52
VCDI 0 1 0 47 139 1044 5904 24226

Date: 2021-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 1 2 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 0 5 9 1 0 0
ODI 0 22 0 2 6 14 0 0
CDI 0 28 0 1 3 98 30 3
VCDI 0 66 9 75 138 1186 6023 24130
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 136 4 2 2 0 0 0
OW 0 32 1 1 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 1 2 7 4 0 0
ODI 0 22 0 4 1 49 0 6
CDI 0 24 0 1 3 155 119 108
VCDI 0 82 9 77 141 1091 5934 24019


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