Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2021-10-07
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2021-10-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
97553 |
3669 |
25 |
143 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
75 |
7 |
110 |
116 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
7 |
7 |
57 |
176 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
125 |
92 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
108 |
260 |
83 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
794 |
3985 |
1555 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-10-03:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
97275 |
3772 |
25 |
180 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
73 |
9 |
130 |
135 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
18 |
4 |
46 |
180 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
5 |
22 |
84 |
136 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
67 |
336 |
83 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
367 |
3418 |
2632 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-10-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
96458 |
4374 |
35 |
165 |
91 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
50 |
8 |
92 |
79 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
15 |
5 |
59 |
127 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
5 |
28 |
133 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
136 |
316 |
5 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
697 |
3162 |
2938 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-10-07:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
97070 |
3464 |
31 |
140 |
150 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
97 |
5 |
56 |
42 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
29 |
5 |
88 |
61 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
2 |
39 |
78 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
2 |
20 |
119 |
174 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
93 |
1196 |
3772 |
2151 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
97070 |
3483 |
32 |
141 |
160 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
83 |
4 |
54 |
37 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
23 |
6 |
91 |
61 |
54 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
1 |
37 |
77 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
2 |
21 |
121 |
167 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
87 |
1192 |
3772 |
2151 |
|
Date: 2021-10-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
95935 |
4151 |
48 |
237 |
170 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
115 |
10 |
106 |
76 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
17 |
5 |
72 |
77 |
84 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
86 |
81 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
101 |
201 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
1236 |
3505 |
2617 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
95935 |
4227 |
48 |
262 |
166 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
45 |
10 |
86 |
87 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
11 |
5 |
71 |
85 |
84 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
79 |
86 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
93 |
207 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
1209 |
3505 |
2617 |
|
Date: 2021-10-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
94875 |
4784 |
57 |
343 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
32 |
9 |
106 |
203 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
6 |
3 |
57 |
221 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
96 |
170 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
95 |
357 |
8 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
590 |
2407 |
4525 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
94875 |
4756 |
53 |
374 |
306 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
57 |
13 |
64 |
103 |
159 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
9 |
3 |
62 |
88 |
106 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
84 |
102 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
94 |
202 |
54 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
564 |
2353 |
4525 |
|
Date: 2021-10-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
94917 |
4656 |
45 |
310 |
135 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
63 |
7 |
73 |
149 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
22 |
5 |
82 |
179 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
1 |
46 |
130 |
82 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
148 |
286 |
8 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
1240 |
3428 |
2979 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
94917 |
4592 |
40 |
297 |
284 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
97 |
10 |
70 |
166 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
49 |
7 |
101 |
85 |
170 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
1 |
51 |
79 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
127 |
164 |
9 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
1158 |
3427 |
2979 |
|
Date: 2021-10-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
95256 |
4318 |
39 |
217 |
103 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
112 |
11 |
73 |
119 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
54 |
12 |
83 |
170 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
17 |
1 |
62 |
136 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
0 |
32 |
154 |
215 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
121 |
1415 |
2929 |
3393 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
95256 |
4247 |
40 |
240 |
295 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
134 |
8 |
38 |
116 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
97 |
10 |
96 |
86 |
152 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
30 |
4 |
59 |
76 |
76 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
40 |
132 |
176 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
98 |
1220 |
2929 |
3393 |
|
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