Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-06-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 400 3724 124 637 70 8 0 0
OW 0 297 51 749 248 40 0 0
VODI 0 121 31 604 1080 128 0 0
ODI 0 52 2 136 1484 573 0 0
CDI 0 16 4 81 2133 4587 215 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 4521 6055 3870
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 475 3927 125 860 124 0 0 0
OW 0 337 60 812 377 5 0 0
VODI 0 205 33 624 1158 199 0 0
ODI 0 34 7 242 1242 482 1 0
CDI 0 49 11 160 2632 4257 507 0
VCDI 0 1 0 24 1391 3706 4798 3217
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 546 4818 181 969 100 0 0 0
OW 0 164 50 904 279 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 18 583 1409 72 0 0
ODI 0 41 10 180 2094 404 1 0
CDI 0 4 3 33 2139 5579 446 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 733 2552 4683 3018
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 597 5149 174 836 216 0 0 0
OW 0 148 55 719 815 2 0 0
VODI 0 50 21 404 1492 97 0 0
ODI 0 16 9 147 1804 585 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 24 1126 6491 794 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 2338 5379 2591
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 597 5179 191 1093 363 0 0 0
OW 0 109 39 498 840 5 0 0
VODI 0 59 21 367 1363 75 0 0
ODI 0 16 8 141 1715 543 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 1171 6442 690 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2448 5484 2591

Date: 2021-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 625 5515 181 933 412 0 0 0
OW 0 199 67 743 856 6 0 0
VODI 0 80 24 408 1248 230 3 0
ODI 0 6 6 145 1653 688 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 1065 5730 1411 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 987 5002 3770
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 625 5557 201 1130 657 0 0 0
OW 0 154 48 575 715 15 0 0
VODI 0 77 23 381 1248 189 11 0
ODI 0 12 6 131 1503 678 52 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 1111 5487 1249 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1272 5145 3770

Date: 2021-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 589 5754 154 864 419 0 0 0
OW 0 182 84 603 423 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 18 804 969 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 2657 375 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 394 6702 633 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 1448 8604 285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 589 5736 189 1168 959 5 0 0
OW 0 157 43 545 589 61 2 0
VODI 0 64 18 466 1160 305 58 0
ODI 0 0 6 148 1329 966 131 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 825 5675 1236 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 1529 7814 285

Date: 2021-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1061 5490 139 1066 484 0 0 0
OW 0 184 104 686 467 1 0 0
VODI 0 12 10 610 1197 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 2095 873 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 311 5831 1613 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2398 6058 1301
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1061 5391 171 1380 955 19 0 0
OW 0 199 46 457 586 73 0 0
VODI 0 91 28 423 1190 357 40 0
ODI 0 5 8 136 1217 1338 130 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 605 5151 2736 16
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1 2191 4768 1285

Date: 2021-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1315 5843 145 1295 119 0 0 0
OW 0 326 102 929 327 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 16 889 983 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 99 2122 975 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 419 6550 1184 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 27 2920 4581 866
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1315 5692 172 1735 467 11 0 0
OW 0 325 49 647 455 52 0 0
VODI 0 155 32 605 996 313 0 0
ODI 0 21 11 200 1426 1347 8 0
CDI 0 0 1 28 616 6951 1707 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 37 1791 4050 866


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