Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-06-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80012 12136 178 873 240 32 2 0
OW 26 185 59 571 226 32 8 0
VODI 0 19 10 452 613 109 29 0
ODI 0 3 3 95 871 287 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 124 1288 1783 286 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 261 2497 3057 2704
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80373 12101 167 847 301 22 2 0
OW 24 190 44 471 258 42 7 0
VODI 0 22 11 375 598 153 14 0
ODI 0 3 2 73 790 283 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 123 1361 1776 347 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 290 1825 2829 3361
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81684 11170 126 700 224 10 0 0
OW 23 289 42 317 122 13 0 0
VODI 0 35 20 470 361 52 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 138 1069 225 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 109 1199 1659 358 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 441 1896 3168 3170
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81782 11078 138 766 200 4 0 0
OW 19 253 31 395 134 18 0 0
VODI 0 53 11 453 433 56 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 118 959 307 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 155 1449 1740 156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 665 2038 2866 2818
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81782 11144 138 803 220 8 0 0
OW 19 211 31 358 130 17 0 0
VODI 0 27 10 448 427 74 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 111 921 295 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 167 1460 1749 182 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 682 2020 2839 2818

Date: 2021-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81783 11422 114 665 131 9 0 0
OW 18 200 41 452 140 15 0 0
VODI 0 62 6 441 631 63 0 0
ODI 0 11 4 161 805 256 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 161 1562 1441 159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 577 2126 3622 2022
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81783 11440 116 720 154 12 0 0
OW 18 186 40 413 154 16 0 0
VODI 0 51 5 424 637 54 0 0
ODI 0 18 4 148 767 235 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 175 1548 1475 162 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 586 2118 3618 2022

Date: 2021-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83028 10396 99 556 86 6 0 0
OW 15 155 40 504 67 14 0 0
VODI 0 5 9 661 420 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 181 1594 153 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 115 1302 1876 207 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 529 1120 2657 3272
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83028 10346 109 793 160 10 0 0
OW 15 145 24 458 174 24 0 0
VODI 0 50 8 401 691 65 3 0
ODI 0 12 7 160 823 181 12 0
CDI 0 3 0 205 1311 1448 256 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 839 1471 2596 3269

Date: 2021-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81352 12449 113 603 68 5 0 0
OW 11 117 46 563 90 15 0 0
VODI 0 3 5 702 603 33 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 156 1400 113 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 148 1292 1865 265 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 261 1658 4628 531
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81351 12302 116 843 138 19 0 0
OW 12 177 34 451 228 21 2 0
VODI 0 63 7 457 588 35 4 0
ODI 0 27 7 173 885 116 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 248 1296 1323 446 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 579 2175 4432 531

Date: 2021-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83738 10455 117 546 64 0 0 0
OW 9 146 43 661 139 15 0 0
VODI 0 7 9 598 878 24 1 0
ODI 0 1 0 170 1061 102 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 228 1031 1488 220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 328 1791 4050 1177
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83738 10327 122 775 154 12 1 0
OW 9 164 27 434 293 22 1 0
VODI 0 83 12 434 565 42 5 0
ODI 0 34 8 220 826 111 9 0
CDI 0 1 0 340 1395 1415 547 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 268 1818 3711 1177


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