Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2021-02-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 248 8 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 2 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 2 16 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 12 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 18 31 11 0 1
VCDI 0 2 0 17 181 612 5094 25735
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 196 11 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 2 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 2 14 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 20 6 0 2 0
CDI 0 10 1 19 31 41 18 2
VCDI 0 0 0 26 198 835 6447 24083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 248 7 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 33 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 1 4 13 12 1 0
CDI 0 32 0 6 19 110 29 11
VCDI 0 87 11 102 231 1494 10062 19479
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 199 13 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 5 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 1 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 2 1 1 5 0 0
CDI 0 32 0 4 34 58 51 12
VCDI 0 112 13 77 167 1606 12225 17339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 198 13 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 4 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 1 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 3 1 1 5 0 0
CDI 0 26 0 3 34 61 64 8
VCDI 0 125 13 78 167 1603 12212 17343

Date: 2021-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 153 6 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 6 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 0 10 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 2 6 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 18 2 9 41 58 36 2
VCDI 0 72 10 61 206 1714 11377 18156
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 156 7 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 4 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 1 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 1 6 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 21 1 8 41 68 43 0
VCDI 0 77 12 65 206 1704 11370 18158

Date: 2021-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 66 3 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 3 47 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 1 43 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 0 17 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 11 2 5 47 28 24 10
VCDI 0 22 2 37 200 1551 9582 20253
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 2 46 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 3 45 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 1 43 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 1 14 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 17 0 7 44 43 35 23
VCDI 0 28 4 44 212 1536 9571 20240

Date: 2021-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 46 1 18 15 0 0 0
OW 0 8 2 29 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 1 18 43 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 7 36 3 2 0
CDI 0 2 1 7 16 51 55 8
VCDI 0 0 1 8 43 1455 11666 18489
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 38 1 26 9 0 0 0
OW 0 11 1 20 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 2 10 46 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 0 9 26 2 0 0
CDI 0 4 3 8 12 43 31 3
VCDI 0 1 1 14 55 1464 11692 18494

Date: 2021-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 2 20 17 0 0 0
OW 0 7 2 6 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 0 15 47 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 17 33 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 18 20 12 31
VCDI 0 0 0 2 27 466 7707 23521
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 19 1 18 16 0 0 0
OW 0 8 1 5 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 0 8 58 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 11 29 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 17 8 19 19 2
VCDI 0 0 0 9 36 474 7700 23550


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