Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-12-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 1852 43 130 19 0 0 0
OW 0 163 12 146 57 4 0 0
VODI 0 37 21 117 156 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 252 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 233 86 31 2
VCDI 0 0 0 55 398 2687 7917 17507
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1480 38 164 27 0 0 0
OW 0 79 12 114 87 1 0 0
VODI 0 20 15 156 180 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 269 35 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 307 157 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 217 2599 9016 17045
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1282 47 211 23 0 0 0
OW 0 22 6 87 69 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 4 105 135 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 61 215 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 302 190 26 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 104 2927 8863 17374
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1010 37 176 107 0 0 0
OW 0 29 8 102 83 9 0 0
VODI 0 17 3 49 125 15 0 0
ODI 0 10 2 25 146 19 0 0
CDI 0 6 0 19 260 80 23 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 185 1831 6672 21022
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1011 39 191 125 0 0 0
OW 0 25 6 91 73 10 0 0
VODI 0 17 2 49 119 15 0 0
ODI 0 10 3 17 181 17 0 0
CDI 0 9 0 18 254 92 23 11
VCDI 0 0 0 5 154 1820 6672 21023

Date: 2020-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 800 39 138 154 32 0 0
OW 0 40 6 76 53 40 0 0
VODI 0 24 2 51 109 57 0 0
ODI 0 15 1 26 91 59 0 0
CDI 0 15 0 31 136 128 12 0
VCDI 0 2 0 10 228 1087 5850 22770
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 801 37 145 160 40 0 0
OW 0 38 9 73 61 35 0 0
VODI 0 21 1 48 115 55 0 0
ODI 0 18 1 31 84 62 0 0
CDI 0 15 0 26 172 133 12 4
VCDI 0 3 0 9 179 1078 5850 22766

Date: 2020-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 713 33 150 90 0 0 0
OW 0 36 11 90 56 2 0 0
VODI 0 20 3 107 147 10 0 0
ODI 0 12 1 17 154 39 0 0
CDI 0 6 1 18 167 235 30 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 119 805 6306 22699
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 691 38 182 139 0 0 0
OW 0 42 6 107 86 13 0 0
VODI 0 21 3 51 124 32 0 0
ODI 0 17 1 18 108 65 0 0
CDI 0 12 0 13 145 107 25 11
VCDI 0 4 1 11 131 874 6311 22693

Date: 2020-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 535 21 153 144 3 0 0
OW 0 28 11 74 71 18 0 0
VODI 0 22 1 75 88 31 0 0
ODI 0 14 2 29 136 50 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 32 125 144 29 4
VCDI 0 0 0 14 170 1210 5404 23439
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 509 22 172 179 28 0 0
OW 0 45 10 52 105 27 0 0
VODI 0 28 1 80 89 82 1 0
ODI 0 13 1 32 86 91 8 0
CDI 0 8 2 28 137 161 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 138 1067 5363 23443

Date: 2021-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 459 18 109 114 78 0 0
OW 0 72 6 48 52 59 0 0
VODI 0 86 3 29 85 63 0 0
ODI 0 51 4 28 72 77 0 0
CDI 0 40 3 34 52 228 23 8
VCDI 0 46 8 118 351 1056 5818 22780
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 427 23 139 146 122 0 0
OW 0 69 1 32 90 75 0 0
VODI 0 77 0 9 66 120 1 0
ODI 0 75 6 22 32 121 17 0
CDI 0 62 4 41 53 177 126 15
VCDI 0 44 8 123 339 946 5697 22773


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