Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-10-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17235 6343 87 346 338 202 46 0
OW 67 837 81 603 330 108 85 0
VODI 0 43 18 835 634 161 61 0
ODI 0 0 4 211 961 367 82 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 338 1074 493 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1724 10419 1725
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17376 5963 73 319 149 3 0 0
OW 88 1314 58 432 312 270 27 0
VODI 0 71 37 481 751 507 65 0
ODI 0 0 2 135 835 579 200 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 375 783 682 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 3001 10507 463
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16662 7849 100 290 44 0 0 0
OW 0 312 78 473 175 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 12 667 568 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 141 1150 421 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 361 1348 670 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 2832 11173 381
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17013 7159 93 370 85 4 0 0
OW 0 559 64 425 194 38 2 0
VODI 0 91 31 597 593 157 25 0
ODI 0 0 0 197 957 385 195 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 403 1068 984 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 3813 9670 686
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17013 7362 99 401 101 8 0 0
OW 0 371 55 397 198 40 0 0
VODI 0 76 34 593 592 214 32 0
ODI 0 0 0 199 974 381 267 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 362 1094 951 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 3728 9626 686

Date: 2020-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16376 7349 77 355 197 10 0 0
OW 0 784 63 447 282 98 13 0
VODI 0 142 38 689 479 143 59 0
ODI 0 3 3 190 822 494 203 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 317 980 960 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 58 2098 8002 4103
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16376 7745 98 453 171 27 0 0
OW 0 439 54 454 249 61 8 0
VODI 0 90 27 612 610 224 60 0
ODI 0 4 2 151 810 511 244 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 221 953 960 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 94 2047 7965 4103

Date: 2020-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15946 8065 97 381 71 0 0 0
OW 0 468 57 340 163 11 0 0
VODI 0 40 30 839 628 59 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 1453 254 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 286 1912 248 31
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 2018 5844 6515
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15945 7794 95 455 210 44 0 0
OW 1 648 54 435 211 74 0 0
VODI 0 125 35 616 752 206 18 0
ODI 0 6 0 104 932 453 75 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 473 1220 267 41
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 2257 5754 6505

Date: 2020-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15925 7644 90 487 150 0 0 0
OW 0 503 59 351 275 21 0 0
VODI 0 47 32 676 673 144 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 1077 393 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 369 1597 444 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 1199 6032 7523
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15925 6993 85 411 300 73 0 0
OW 0 988 48 423 214 119 0 0
VODI 0 204 44 647 858 251 2 0
ODI 0 9 4 112 822 488 123 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 330 1110 443 47
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 1313 5925 7482

Date: 2020-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15310 7769 68 353 233 0 0 0
OW 0 393 38 386 335 79 0 0
VODI 0 131 41 502 595 335 9 0
ODI 0 6 3 125 718 533 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 241 1152 702 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 856 8331 6543
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15309 7122 64 301 193 181 8 0
OW 1 868 37 397 331 112 38 0
VODI 0 284 39 548 888 407 97 0
ODI 0 24 10 119 550 685 174 0
CDI 0 1 0 7 110 674 951 52
VCDI 0 0 0 0 60 896 7837 6491


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 11:58:51 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy