Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-09-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96912 4582 13 28 1 0 0 0
OW 0 498 36 149 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 31 487 282 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 4 88 1151 341 3 0
CDI 0 1 2 8 592 2564 1160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96819 4502 18 54 1 0 0 0
OW 0 501 29 222 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 172 31 448 282 15 0 0
ODI 0 12 4 97 1042 317 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 523 2674 1312 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97019 4551 14 41 1 0 0 0
OW 0 443 28 140 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 161 26 363 103 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 4 111 632 337 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 4 285 2477 981 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 107 1232 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97226 4176 13 95 8 0 0 0
OW 0 471 23 126 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 221 28 279 79 3 0 0
ODI 0 32 6 192 392 184 1 0
CDI 0 1 1 12 200 1800 1208 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 147 1497 635
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97226 4340 24 133 11 0 0 0
OW 0 344 21 116 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 181 20 259 86 1 0 0
ODI 0 31 5 179 404 163 1 0
CDI 0 5 1 17 178 1813 1040 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 157 1665 664

Date: 2020-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96994 4305 12 67 11 0 0 0
OW 0 469 18 188 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 280 28 237 57 4 0 0
ODI 0 44 10 265 297 33 3 0
CDI 0 1 1 31 312 1329 738 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 545 2292 509
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96994 4458 22 170 19 0 0 0
OW 0 364 15 118 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 230 20 243 62 3 0 0
ODI 0 41 11 220 297 44 2 0
CDI 0 6 1 36 301 1292 669 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1 572 2362 509

Date: 2020-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96689 4687 8 40 20 0 0 0
OW 0 328 30 243 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 29 441 108 4 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 95 490 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 230 1599 122 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1037 2766 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96689 4582 19 97 35 0 0 0
OW 0 276 13 186 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 198 22 264 88 10 0 0
ODI 0 30 14 217 262 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 370 607 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 2022 2785 0

Date: 2020-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96389 4774 21 64 15 0 0 0
OW 0 246 32 314 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 22 303 243 4 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 61 406 102 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 194 780 67 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2018 2962 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96389 4670 21 112 10 0 0 0
OW 0 238 20 207 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 23 255 174 2 0 0
ODI 0 34 9 125 304 107 0 0
CDI 0 2 3 43 299 405 86 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 2390 2943 0

Date: 2020-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96522 4554 16 87 6 0 0 0
OW 0 257 20 220 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 29 234 344 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 76 377 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 223 602 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1702 3521 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96522 4329 15 144 18 0 0 0
OW 0 266 12 121 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 219 20 156 203 1 0 0
ODI 0 60 14 133 261 94 0 0
CDI 0 27 6 57 404 383 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 47 1932 3568 0


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