Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-09-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17513 6292 15 23 1 0 0 0
OW 0 604 56 199 21 2 0 0
VODI 0 137 26 439 239 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 1187 133 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 245 2003 757 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 445 1384 261
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18486 5550 8 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 811 39 84 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 195 44 402 263 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 5 100 824 432 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 730 1937 520 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 661 908 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19093 5734 10 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 484 52 103 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 28 457 116 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 68 1025 197 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 44 1772 1001 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 122 1690 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20084 4734 6 3 0 0 0 0
OW 26 563 44 73 0 0 0 0
VODI 2 106 47 478 60 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 129 991 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 748 1564 189 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 591 1540 97
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20096 4834 11 8 0 0 0 0
OW 15 506 48 85 1 0 0 0
VODI 1 63 38 477 75 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 113 983 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 740 1358 126 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 782 1603 97

Date: 2020-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20157 4687 6 3 0 0 0 0
OW 22 685 25 33 0 0 0 0
VODI 1 185 63 427 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 267 772 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1099 1128 136 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 724 1381 260
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20165 4860 9 10 0 0 0 0
OW 14 570 26 29 0 0 0 0
VODI 1 127 58 472 38 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 219 798 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1051 920 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 932 1473 260

Date: 2020-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20499 5202 12 6 0 0 0 0
OW 15 265 66 171 1 0 0 0
VODI 1 19 11 626 154 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 1646 75 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 269 1504 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 289 1196 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20504 4497 11 9 0 0 0 0
OW 10 655 12 47 8 0 0 0
VODI 1 328 58 349 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 8 417 526 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1467 381 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 1461 1229 1

Date: 2020-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20733 5105 19 25 0 0 0 0
OW 9 313 69 192 2 0 0 0
VODI 1 40 19 545 204 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 1494 109 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 321 1331 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 293 1192 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20733 4013 10 8 0 0 0 0
OW 10 874 17 31 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 531 56 291 36 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 24 442 418 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 1463 330 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 101 1390 1234 0

Date: 2020-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20586 5034 22 56 0 0 0 0
OW 10 372 55 216 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 18 374 355 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 17 1029 375 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 165 1318 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 440 1356 7
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20588 4026 2 3 0 0 0 0
OW 8 849 15 31 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 532 54 301 166 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 25 283 475 63 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 944 786 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1285 1525 7


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