Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-09-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20551 6014 39 123 5 0 0 0
OW 0 1182 73 367 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 276 75 949 359 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 9 436 1383 257 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 71 732 2474 1100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 784 5826 2698
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19902 6506 41 116 8 0 0 0
OW 0 1080 68 502 195 0 0 0
VODI 0 262 67 698 540 35 0 0
ODI 0 23 10 340 1074 468 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 66 780 2750 260 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 77 1923 6989 1080
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19505 7391 55 52 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1053 76 384 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 187 63 965 293 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 206 1609 267 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 446 2410 340 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 3519 6690 293
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19541 7053 39 92 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1160 80 417 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 276 52 813 391 2 0 0
ODI 0 6 14 268 1240 308 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 412 1337 913 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 2364 8665 344
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19505 7398 52 138 4 0 0 0
OW 36 801 71 349 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 288 54 800 329 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 8 307 1223 287 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 489 1369 929 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 2355 8651 344

Date: 2020-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20014 5660 42 91 0 0 0 0
OW 2 1752 84 357 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 449 64 753 422 7 0 0
ODI 0 18 19 311 1179 199 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 563 1134 559 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 1492 8164 2414
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19986 6527 58 140 5 0 0 0
OW 30 903 76 344 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 413 56 687 357 1 0 0
ODI 0 36 19 326 1181 159 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 604 1074 457 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 59 1598 8266 2414

Date: 2020-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19656 7051 58 152 0 0 0 0
OW 0 869 87 297 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 169 51 1005 322 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 110 1679 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 237 1509 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1475 9989 1008
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19642 6865 56 175 0 0 0 0
OW 14 838 68 313 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 355 57 688 434 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 15 348 1170 42 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 606 1181 200 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1804 9883 1008

Date: 2020-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19071 7348 83 207 0 0 0 0
OW 0 671 90 550 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 241 50 704 475 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 8 330 1170 213 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 440 1206 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 3919 8332 649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19063 6698 91 291 5 0 0 0
OW 8 1099 76 477 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 338 39 665 602 9 0 0
ODI 0 131 24 239 919 184 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 145 499 1060 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 4085 8276 649

Date: 2020-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19082 6684 66 197 12 0 0 0
OW 5 817 84 615 252 0 0 0
VODI 0 182 40 647 685 1 0 0
ODI 0 37 19 191 1102 329 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 219 969 526 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 2143 10818 95
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18957 5868 72 302 148 0 0 0
OW 130 1387 67 441 134 4 0 0
VODI 0 318 44 672 744 29 0 0
ODI 0 129 17 174 850 262 1 0
CDI 0 18 9 96 378 969 468 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 2178 10875 95


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