Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-09-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 134976 16888 67 174 7 0 0 0
OW 0 2284 165 715 91 2 0 0
VODI 0 538 132 1875 880 14 0 0
ODI 0 35 13 591 3721 731 3 0
CDI 0 2 2 79 1569 7041 3017 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 1229 7210 2959
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135207 16558 67 186 9 0 0 0
OW 0 2392 136 808 228 0 0 0
VODI 0 629 142 1548 1085 50 0 0
ODI 0 50 19 537 2940 1217 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 101 2033 7361 2092 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 86 2584 7897 1080
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135617 17676 79 98 5 0 0 0
OW 0 1980 156 627 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 425 117 1785 512 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 5 385 3266 801 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 13 775 6659 2322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 3748 9612 293
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136851 15963 58 190 8 0 0 0
OW 26 2194 147 616 46 0 0 0
VODI 2 603 127 1570 530 5 0 0
ODI 0 38 20 589 2623 499 8 0
CDI 0 1 1 43 1360 4701 2310 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 3102 11702 1076
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136827 16572 87 279 15 0 0 0
OW 51 1651 140 550 50 0 0 0
VODI 1 532 112 1536 490 1 0 0
ODI 0 39 13 599 2610 472 6 0
CDI 0 5 1 44 1407 4540 2095 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 3294 11919 1105

Date: 2020-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 137165 14652 60 161 11 0 0 0
OW 24 2906 127 578 52 0 0 0
VODI 1 914 155 1417 500 11 0 0
ODI 0 62 29 843 2248 232 6 0
CDI 0 1 1 64 1974 3591 1433 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 2761 11837 3183
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 137145 15845 89 320 24 0 0 0
OW 44 1837 117 491 56 0 0 0
VODI 1 770 134 1402 457 4 0 0
ODI 0 77 31 765 2276 203 5 0
CDI 0 6 1 84 1956 3286 1170 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 65 3102 12101 3183

Date: 2020-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136844 16940 78 198 20 0 0 0
OW 15 1462 183 711 33 0 0 0
VODI 1 258 91 2072 584 4 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 226 3815 150 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 736 4612 249 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2801 13951 1009
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136835 15944 86 281 35 0 0 0
OW 24 1769 93 546 96 0 0 0
VODI 1 881 137 1301 562 10 0 0
ODI 0 69 37 982 1958 101 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 98 2443 2169 303 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 94 5287 13897 1009

Date: 2020-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136193 17227 123 296 15 0 0 0
OW 9 1230 191 1056 49 0 0 0
VODI 1 344 91 1552 922 4 0 0
ODI 0 8 9 415 3070 424 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 955 3317 124 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 6230 12486 649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136185 15381 122 411 15 0 0 0
OW 18 2211 113 715 116 0 0 0
VODI 0 1009 118 1211 812 11 0 0
ODI 0 205 57 806 1641 304 0 0
CDI 0 3 4 202 2261 1795 157 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 198 7865 12453 649

Date: 2020-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136190 16272 104 340 18 0 0 0
OW 15 1446 159 1051 337 0 0 0
VODI 0 339 87 1255 1384 3 0 0
ODI 0 39 22 284 2508 809 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 607 2889 751 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 4285 15695 102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136067 14223 89 449 166 0 0 0
OW 138 2502 94 593 206 4 0 0
VODI 0 1069 118 1129 1113 30 0 0
ODI 0 257 56 590 1586 419 1 0
CDI 0 45 15 198 1726 2138 477 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 77 5395 15968 102


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 11:43:08 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy