Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2020-08-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95118 4911 51 209 57 0 0 0
OW 0 229 30 312 115 0 0 0
VODI 0 150 27 347 747 4 0 0
ODI 0 57 4 180 2600 594 214 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 490 2023 591 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 26 14 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94048 6080 30 192 23 0 0 0
OW 0 250 28 415 67 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 29 699 422 6 0 0
ODI 0 45 8 340 2458 1322 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 288 1810 406 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 11 20 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95601 4875 34 157 21 0 0 0
OW 0 142 42 339 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 12 855 319 1 0 0
ODI 0 18 6 281 2539 288 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 337 3064 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 73 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95713 4913 25 117 23 0 0 0
OW 0 209 39 341 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 25 825 371 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 348 2236 552 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 376 2838 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 20 5 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95713 4949 30 182 30 0 0 0
OW 0 178 33 316 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 25 798 540 4 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 335 2083 642 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 352 2595 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 177 3 0

Date: 2020-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95694 5018 19 125 19 0 0 0
OW 0 301 47 323 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 16 801 439 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 286 2355 475 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 637 2390 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95694 5062 25 210 27 0 0 0
OW 0 256 38 272 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 19 779 654 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 275 2178 560 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 587 2228 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 89 0 0

Date: 2020-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95606 5045 24 126 15 0 0 0
OW 0 263 49 251 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 12 897 209 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 2071 154 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 363 3819 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95606 5014 26 270 47 0 0 0
OW 0 265 40 273 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 18 676 800 44 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 166 1330 1586 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 424 2315 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 28 0 0

Date: 2020-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95932 4690 25 151 6 0 0 0
OW 0 252 36 360 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 21 765 314 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 180 1685 385 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 295 3292 610 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95932 4605 21 309 29 0 0 0
OW 0 294 33 316 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 25 646 781 121 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 183 1126 1438 389 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 324 2106 221 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0

Date: 2020-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95328 5265 25 124 13 0 0 0
OW 0 254 35 365 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 23 702 395 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 117 1215 892 72 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 286 2641 1212 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95328 5203 21 234 47 8 0 0
OW 0 249 41 347 128 22 0 0
VODI 0 117 18 569 685 192 72 0
ODI 0 5 3 156 799 1419 781 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 320 1889 431 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0


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