Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-08-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12802 6886 57 204 1 0 0 0
OW 0 360 40 383 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 18 798 602 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 3031 1797 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 3802 1106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13262 6466 33 116 1 0 0 0
OW 0 532 47 291 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 118 35 811 740 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 2370 2750 316 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 3860 209 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13220 6941 23 51 0 0 0 0
OW 0 435 70 255 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 35 1029 374 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 2525 474 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 110 3369 1886 33
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 973 105
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13331 6843 29 29 1 0 0 0
OW 0 533 52 242 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 35 917 528 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 1986 1038 303 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 125 2160 3082 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 204 492 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13331 6877 31 38 1 0 0 0
OW 0 453 60 298 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 134 25 823 586 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 1684 827 329 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 354 2267 2674 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 258 874 0

Date: 2020-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14076 6321 15 17 1 0 0 0
OW 0 636 56 219 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 38 878 545 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 1911 1305 233 4
CDI 0 0 0 0 109 1527 2771 739
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 26 381 62
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14076 6345 24 40 1 0 0 0
OW 0 531 53 263 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 222 31 799 580 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 77 1748 1193 237 10
CDI 0 0 0 1 224 1596 2583 708
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 56 565 87

Date: 2020-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14462 6368 22 52 0 0 0 0
OW 0 570 56 190 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 29 1063 200 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 1934 121 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 49 2273 345 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 135 3122 944
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14462 6136 31 90 8 0 0 0
OW 0 521 42 220 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 379 27 737 455 105 0 0
ODI 0 4 7 295 1429 1216 637 4
CDI 0 0 0 1 226 1136 2569 848
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 72 261 92

Date: 2020-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14505 6552 33 66 4 0 0 0
OW 0 559 49 216 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 30 905 273 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 1672 403 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 103 2132 759 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 575 2321 702
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14505 6142 39 129 35 0 0 0
OW 0 539 32 247 55 14 0 0
VODI 0 503 27 549 528 218 0 0
ODI 0 36 14 329 1301 1323 664 20
CDI 0 0 0 0 157 1472 2269 679
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 96 157 3

Date: 2020-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14983 6162 25 56 9 0 0 0
OW 0 672 33 167 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 139 39 869 263 20 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 113 1672 385 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 156 2344 801 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 550 2045 520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14958 5730 31 102 56 7 0 0
OW 25 608 33 187 52 16 0 0
VODI 0 572 23 553 710 173 0 0
ODI 0 66 14 362 1240 1462 372 30
CDI 0 0 0 1 87 1627 2267 497
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 207 0


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