Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-07-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 837 6416 138 719 81 2 0 0
OW 2 237 87 855 343 23 0 0
VODI 0 20 16 652 1647 118 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 1452 1583 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 188 6483 1049 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 2496 5146 1470
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1239 6450 97 659 99 4 0 0
OW 2 428 98 774 485 26 0 0
VODI 0 40 17 631 1677 169 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 1547 2215 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 98 6176 1411 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 957 5078 1673
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2728 5715 76 457 68 7 0 0
OW 2 287 81 665 191 13 0 0
VODI 0 19 15 674 1022 29 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 2233 985 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 294 7833 1459 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 872 6041 290
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4041 5209 50 282 26 0 0 0
OW 2 511 71 715 116 10 0 0
VODI 0 73 46 962 909 47 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 115 3490 949 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1893 5761 1016 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 887 3775 1122 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4041 5331 64 376 50 3 0 0
OW 2 376 64 585 114 8 0 0
VODI 0 87 41 996 980 66 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 117 3070 940 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2186 5634 745 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 921 3891 1393 0

Date: 2020-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4469 5171 50 217 2 0 0 0
OW 3 798 99 663 133 0 0 0
VODI 0 273 46 920 1105 41 0 0
ODI 0 22 12 291 4196 2193 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 1354 4784 577 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 879 3727 50 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4470 5363 70 350 28 0 0 0
OW 2 583 71 486 166 0 0 0
VODI 0 299 55 944 1159 101 0 0
ODI 0 19 11 317 3411 1842 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1922 4952 552 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 983 3850 75 0

Date: 2020-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4321 6584 110 329 7 0 0 0
OW 1 454 105 859 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 20 1025 983 6 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 22 4766 668 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 8 1141 7256 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2738 274 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4322 5818 76 421 62 0 0 0
OW 0 746 80 594 231 5 0 0
VODI 0 461 69 833 1433 344 0 0
ODI 0 52 13 394 3289 2522 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1562 4246 456 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 404 3551 96 0

Date: 2020-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4531 7122 104 445 45 0 0 0
OW 0 477 87 752 165 1 0 0
VODI 0 69 22 910 1749 14 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 34 3492 2812 0 0
CDI 1 2 1 1 68 6632 271 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2093 171 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4531 6209 72 461 123 2 0 0
OW 0 832 71 517 344 24 0 0
VODI 0 577 60 880 1907 1100 0 0
ODI 0 62 12 283 2655 2990 0 0
CDI 1 0 0 1 490 4201 295 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3235 147 0

Date: 2020-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4923 7188 101 437 44 0 0 0
OW 1 637 84 899 185 6 0 0
VODI 0 93 30 1070 2620 50 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 24 1916 4236 0 0
CDI 1 0 0 5 31 5122 694 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1262 412 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4923 6316 90 611 160 24 0 0
OW 1 860 63 529 686 140 0 0
VODI 0 687 57 968 1648 1868 0 0
ODI 0 65 6 321 2124 3178 10 0
CDI 1 0 0 6 178 3439 415 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2027 681 0


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