Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2020-05-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 1924 66 168 20 0 0 0
OW 0 87 11 234 89 1 0 0
VODI 0 44 7 118 371 12 4 0
ODI 0 43 7 106 337 271 18 0
CDI 0 43 9 178 990 1336 532 4
VCDI 0 0 0 28 554 3653 14858 5955
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 43 1944 53 185 17 0 0 0
OW 0 101 20 196 120 2 0 0
VODI 0 67 6 132 395 60 4 0
ODI 0 83 9 116 334 435 82 0
CDI 0 29 7 218 953 1502 916 1
VCDI 0 0 0 32 440 6343 11996 5241
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39 2108 59 172 29 1 0 0
OW 0 40 23 331 46 0 2 0
VODI 0 10 2 254 380 30 32 0
ODI 0 9 1 44 767 311 61 0
CDI 0 9 3 52 958 2233 498 0
VCDI 0 1 1 29 244 5401 11421 6481
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 2178 62 282 36 14 0 0
OW 0 42 20 344 135 27 2 0
VODI 0 23 2 169 602 83 11 0
ODI 0 18 2 71 571 604 44 0
CDI 0 23 1 103 882 2411 384 0
VCDI 0 14 6 40 457 7152 11630 3633
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 2163 64 371 65 25 0 0
OW 0 57 17 262 144 18 2 0
VODI 0 23 2 171 593 108 11 0
ODI 0 18 2 71 533 674 43 0
CDI 0 20 3 89 842 2333 483 0
VCDI 0 17 5 45 506 7133 11532 3633

Date: 2020-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 2236 65 345 46 19 1 0
OW 0 77 18 310 201 23 0 0
VODI 0 43 6 195 648 172 10 0
ODI 0 27 5 110 475 886 96 0
CDI 0 27 2 129 1016 2272 1004 8
VCDI 0 6 1 56 434 6359 11142 3608
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 2235 64 420 95 21 1 0
OW 0 80 17 224 223 27 0 0
VODI 0 39 8 211 588 235 9 0
ODI 0 26 3 101 466 864 130 0
CDI 0 28 4 131 891 2362 995 6
VCDI 0 8 1 58 557 6222 11118 3610

Date: 2020-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 2271 53 261 43 8 0 0
OW 0 190 33 281 90 5 8 0
VODI 0 54 9 497 437 28 15 0
ODI 0 7 0 86 1123 327 34 0
CDI 0 2 1 60 845 3734 888 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 59 1699 11311 7613
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 2258 55 420 146 8 0 0
OW 0 123 21 201 243 29 12 0
VODI 0 82 11 221 564 467 53 0
ODI 0 35 7 143 399 786 444 0
CDI 0 23 1 183 1071 2784 1933 2
VCDI 0 3 1 19 174 1727 9814 7611

Date: 2020-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 2511 56 255 30 12 0 0
OW 0 157 48 528 136 9 4 0
VODI 0 14 0 306 760 50 12 0
ODI 0 4 0 72 948 654 47 0
CDI 0 0 1 55 705 3704 1484 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 91 1436 10252 7737
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 2385 57 459 155 13 0 0
OW 0 142 25 234 412 80 4 0
VODI 0 111 15 193 613 757 25 0
ODI 0 32 6 163 388 850 138 0
CDI 0 14 1 153 983 3107 2898 0
VCDI 0 2 1 14 119 1058 8734 7737

Date: 2020-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52 2654 64 323 38 8 0 0
OW 0 111 43 564 267 12 3 0
VODI 0 14 2 234 1059 139 18 0
ODI 0 4 0 64 916 1229 63 0
CDI 0 0 1 44 520 2579 2100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 133 1383 12123 5318
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52 2480 78 522 329 21 0 0
OW 0 138 13 263 476 281 8 0
VODI 0 129 13 195 541 855 77 0
ODI 0 23 5 171 536 608 345 0
CDI 0 13 1 67 967 2502 3554 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 84 1083 10323 5318


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