Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2020-04-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 8 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 29 89 10 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 151 57 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 192 234 54 29
VCDI 0 0 0 10 393 1617 8415 34549
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 96 27 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 108 66 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 177 303 102 50
VCDI 0 0 0 11 386 2201 8757 33532
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 11 18 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 132 130 42 2
CDI 0 0 0 6 190 634 211 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 231 1969 9335 32926
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 13 17 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 89 131 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 77 609 245 37
VCDI 0 0 0 27 251 1855 9921 32471
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 16 16 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 37 73 167 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 104 594 268 39
VCDI 0 0 0 18 237 1832 9896 32469

Date: 2020-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 15 23 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 36 95 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 114 355 190 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 239 1606 9206 33907
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 16 30 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 33 114 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 134 361 219 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 222 1580 9157 33907

Date: 2020-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 12 0 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 51 85 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 59 546 274 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 1093 8279 35354
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 12 44 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 69 284 196 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 1395 8357 35351

Date: 2020-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 81 31 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 121 288 122 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 1301 9208 34615
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 16 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 90 222 118 37
VCDI 0 0 0 0 193 1382 9214 34590

Date: 2020-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 15 54 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 58 33 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 74 189 109 16
VCDI 0 0 0 15 207 1446 9090 34455
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 7 13 15 14
CDI 0 0 0 24 99 110 262 126
VCDI 0 0 0 96 287 1550 8929 34331


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