Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-12-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77265 12863 121 414 285 131 16 0
OW 62 392 47 307 132 22 0 0
VODI 0 125 29 326 302 64 2 0
ODI 0 39 5 138 317 107 6 0
CDI 0 20 3 45 450 328 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 52 338 1617 7346 5368
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77418 12192 120 443 202 176 33 0
OW 68 485 46 256 105 29 0 0
VODI 0 240 42 358 208 48 2 0
ODI 0 50 11 180 270 73 5 0
CDI 0 21 5 82 442 285 14 0
VCDI 0 2 0 54 485 2336 7047 5267
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76719 13016 138 591 237 178 43 0
OW 65 356 65 296 198 16 11 0
VODI 0 63 29 330 310 32 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 126 396 80 3 0
CDI 0 3 2 20 500 455 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 198 2381 7251 4942
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75882 13432 139 473 191 187 71 0
OW 74 416 73 338 135 7 15 0
VODI 0 186 34 347 323 47 5 0
ODI 0 12 9 145 467 57 6 0
CDI 0 1 1 40 449 413 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 306 2581 6701 5503
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75883 13416 135 470 189 187 82 0
OW 73 402 76 312 128 6 4 0
VODI 0 213 31 358 309 42 6 0
ODI 0 16 13 151 438 58 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 48 470 377 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 337 2622 6703 5503

Date: 2019-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76576 12851 119 348 141 145 86 0
OW 81 492 57 275 105 25 14 0
VODI 4 258 32 318 236 30 6 0
ODI 1 65 12 190 277 50 8 0
CDI 0 17 7 110 398 240 20 0
VCDI 0 5 1 65 590 2946 7117 4782
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76574 12857 120 337 149 150 86 0
OW 82 454 51 276 81 20 15 0
VODI 5 274 36 310 230 30 8 0
ODI 1 80 11 191 275 40 4 0
CDI 0 17 9 111 385 198 26 0
VCDI 0 6 1 81 627 2998 7112 4782

Date: 2019-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75868 13576 136 422 183 120 52 0
OW 71 361 48 355 94 23 43 0
VODI 0 93 32 403 256 30 25 0
ODI 0 10 6 185 358 52 17 0
CDI 0 1 2 48 559 357 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 409 2615 7270 5002
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75867 13115 107 367 198 144 117 0
OW 71 519 52 260 79 30 23 0
VODI 1 278 41 357 147 42 6 0
ODI 0 104 15 236 239 58 2 0
CDI 0 23 6 157 484 241 1 2
VCDI 0 2 3 43 712 2682 7269 5000

Date: 2020-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75570 13219 141 470 226 134 37 0
OW 71 342 40 304 131 44 19 0
VODI 0 195 30 298 247 59 21 0
ODI 0 34 9 183 327 76 23 0
CDI 0 3 5 129 450 189 23 0
VCDI 0 0 1 28 638 3888 7748 3748
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75557 12777 107 396 219 170 68 0
OW 84 493 54 239 131 39 31 0
VODI 0 289 42 284 225 59 6 0
ODI 0 181 12 229 236 54 5 0
CDI 0 45 6 177 415 186 14 0
VCDI 0 8 5 87 793 3882 7747 3748

Date: 2020-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76901 11708 113 471 295 211 1 0
OW 72 411 49 203 145 59 30 0
VODI 0 238 33 263 194 86 24 0
ODI 0 84 11 158 228 108 30 0
CDI 0 34 11 113 339 247 45 0
VCDI 0 31 7 141 677 3895 8716 2718
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76801 11200 119 546 367 251 48 0
OW 157 461 32 206 166 63 41 0
VODI 15 335 31 162 231 119 22 0
ODI 0 179 20 137 189 114 18 0
CDI 0 168 6 99 261 231 43 0
VCDI 0 163 16 199 664 3828 8674 2718


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 08:08:43 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy