Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-09-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16616 4716 16 56 1 0 0 0
OW 0 709 32 156 136 1 0 0
VODI 0 307 51 388 503 337 0 0
ODI 0 16 17 233 641 1040 227 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 162 518 1606 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1230 2340
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16485 4644 6 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 811 33 207 108 2 0 0
VODI 0 378 31 372 499 294 34 0
ODI 0 86 30 249 498 689 599 0
CDI 0 0 1 44 203 443 1514 104
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 36 991 2687
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16502 5332 29 52 1 0 0 0
OW 0 303 58 242 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 18 419 291 32 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 56 665 212 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 139 1105 276 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 78 3071 3096
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17018 4797 19 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 548 48 202 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 41 490 221 1 0 0
ODI 0 15 5 145 683 55 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 20 514 769 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 763 3074 2411
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17018 4822 19 66 0 0 0 0
OW 0 464 44 150 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 45 502 204 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 5 160 643 31 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 20 562 696 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 861 3089 2411

Date: 2019-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16346 5139 28 122 7 0 0 0
OW 0 688 30 199 119 0 0 0
VODI 0 157 36 379 234 99 3 0
ODI 0 22 11 124 543 148 77 0
CDI 0 1 2 43 243 745 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 580 3190 2538
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16346 5009 29 125 19 0 0 0
OW 0 787 23 191 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 187 36 387 292 57 0 0
ODI 0 24 18 113 499 139 61 0
CDI 0 0 1 51 257 714 189 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 662 3246 2538

Date: 2019-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16330 5388 29 91 0 0 0 0
OW 0 198 50 220 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 14 305 235 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 739 30 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 193 1278 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 448 3923 2466
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16329 4617 23 121 32 0 0 0
OW 1 643 21 144 95 1 0 0
VODI 0 330 35 253 546 75 0 0
ODI 0 14 14 122 291 412 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 232 648 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 620 3799 2466

Date: 2019-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15550 5719 34 101 1 0 0 0
OW 0 154 48 341 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 18 212 328 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 467 113 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 335 923 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 993 4270 2299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15550 4896 21 112 37 0 0 0
OW 0 604 14 105 88 0 0 0
VODI 0 363 47 366 481 43 0 0
ODI 0 26 12 83 306 470 0 0
CDI 0 2 6 56 255 553 132 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 963 4139 2299

Date: 2019-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15089 5701 31 72 2 0 0 0
OW 6 402 40 269 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 26 239 292 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 8 128 364 57 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 451 631 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 210 1319 5575 1009
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15089 5106 17 116 33 0 0 0
OW 6 566 23 93 108 0 0 0
VODI 0 409 31 313 354 47 0 0
ODI 0 71 15 67 407 439 8 0
CDI 0 21 19 115 199 454 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 281 1067 5469 1009


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