Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-07-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7912 9364 178 1617 183 0 0 0
OW 0 245 51 1057 197 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 11 1525 1934 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 57 4082 619 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 1082 11244 763 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 469 1766 1437 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7685 10415 150 1060 279 0 0 0
OW 0 462 49 912 329 6 0 0
VODI 0 55 22 1431 2339 58 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 35 3031 1193 0 0
CDI 0 5 3 64 962 11186 1435 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 408 403 1874 2
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9225 9696 138 967 117 0 0 0
OW 0 384 52 621 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 22 1664 888 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 69 4469 583 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 884 12033 2234 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 333 124 1030 231
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9846 9767 114 672 214 0 0 0
OW 0 618 62 556 41 2 0 0
VODI 0 127 39 1689 1258 16 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 70 3433 1350 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 12 736 9379 3940 963
VCDI 0 0 0 4 348 225 212 169
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9846 9838 122 819 224 0 0 0
OW 0 523 43 667 89 4 0 0
VODI 0 151 50 1381 1214 22 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 118 3289 1479 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 14 855 9180 3794 925
VCDI 0 0 0 4 359 287 358 207

Date: 2019-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11396 8920 91 739 4 0 0 0
OW 0 847 65 704 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 199 49 1951 1192 15 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 83 3298 1252 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 4 449 8915 4583 359
VCDI 0 0 0 4 346 261 58 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11396 9002 107 943 4 0 0 0
OW 0 692 48 730 117 0 0 0
VODI 0 264 49 1514 1166 23 0 0
ODI 0 15 2 287 3243 1386 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 7 458 8757 4466 203
VCDI 0 0 0 4 374 277 175 156

Date: 2019-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13003 8435 115 571 2 0 0 0
OW 0 560 83 559 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 25 1919 488 2 0 0
ODI 0 13 0 32 3345 318 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 5 933 9927 2302 20
VCDI 0 0 0 4 47 160 2283 618
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13003 8120 128 816 23 0 0 0
OW 0 600 45 676 147 1 0 0
VODI 0 329 50 1409 1361 125 0 0
ODI 0 26 0 180 2403 2206 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 5 599 7822 4410 303
VCDI 0 0 0 4 310 253 175 335

Date: 2019-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13275 8838 80 437 3 0 0 0
OW 0 528 82 795 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 23 1576 778 1 0 0
ODI 0 8 0 31 2748 802 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 1196 8871 3291 111
VCDI 0 0 0 1 119 426 1195 541
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13275 8418 81 670 80 0 0 0
OW 0 583 60 630 155 0 0 0
VODI 0 401 44 1351 1486 250 0 0
ODI 0 12 0 185 1989 3053 31 0
CDI 0 2 0 10 912 6610 4455 652
VCDI 0 0 0 12 272 187 0 0

Date: 2019-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14362 8176 64 332 3 0 0 0
OW 17 985 57 582 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 229 55 1464 510 2 0 0
ODI 0 5 6 356 3030 407 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 1595 9347 2601 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 117 105 1159 173
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14379 7897 73 484 89 0 0 0
OW 0 785 46 615 184 0 0 0
VODI 0 705 59 1407 1492 221 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 191 2340 2813 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 88 1042 6764 3760 173
VCDI 0 0 0 8 176 63 0 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 06:04:20 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy