Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-06-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2055 116 467 92 2 2 0
OW 0 149 33 349 375 56 0 0
VODI 0 44 17 319 899 151 2 0
ODI 0 7 0 120 1064 805 38 0
CDI 0 66 1 160 2143 2767 294 0
VCDI 0 2 0 146 673 7072 9320 2276
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2167 114 558 148 1 1 0
OW 0 208 23 476 459 44 0 0
VODI 0 59 20 415 1005 163 1 0
ODI 0 17 2 231 1174 1076 59 0
CDI 0 3 2 588 2673 2598 259 0
VCDI 0 1 0 107 742 6605 8729 1354
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2676 110 548 87 1 0 0
OW 0 149 45 596 276 15 0 0
VODI 0 19 5 495 1146 76 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 79 2312 1022 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 1807 5703 160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 477 3789 7359 3106
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3043 111 575 183 8 0 0
OW 0 172 51 681 451 11 0 0
VODI 0 29 13 411 1610 98 1 0
ODI 0 19 2 145 2109 1514 13 0
CDI 0 3 2 13 2252 5162 230 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 236 4431 5921 2581
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3090 126 688 221 8 0 0
OW 0 134 36 561 471 5 0 0
VODI 0 21 13 429 1596 125 0 0
ODI 0 18 2 135 1986 1512 27 0
CDI 0 3 2 12 2333 5237 152 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 234 4337 5986 2581

Date: 2019-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 3505 96 661 223 33 0 0
OW 0 298 67 737 573 15 0 0
VODI 0 128 14 397 1971 195 9 0
ODI 0 112 3 205 1708 1267 51 0
CDI 0 44 0 114 1469 5445 675 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 403 5453 5728 443
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 3597 117 722 267 29 0 0
OW 0 209 49 698 521 14 0 0
VODI 0 128 14 384 2059 210 8 0
ODI 0 114 0 209 1529 1284 80 0
CDI 0 25 0 83 1613 5338 550 0
VCDI 0 14 0 21 358 5533 5825 443

Date: 2019-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51 4090 111 680 197 31 15 0
OW 0 240 76 669 314 4 0 0
VODI 0 46 11 787 1174 38 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 92 3099 473 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1031 8465 294 0
VCDI 0 1 0 1 338 4412 3238 2089
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51 4071 120 884 451 37 15 0
OW 0 219 55 661 737 54 0 0
VODI 0 88 22 484 1906 615 14 0
ODI 0 2 1 163 1204 1260 57 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 1386 5927 284 0
VCDI 0 1 0 5 469 5530 3184 2089

Date: 2019-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 189 4605 135 859 207 37 0 0
OW 0 216 65 912 439 12 0 0
VODI 0 28 7 652 1822 85 3 0
ODI 0 4 0 92 2462 797 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 1157 8219 318 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 182 4203 2736 1607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 189 4480 129 1107 565 46 0 0
OW 0 285 52 724 1075 91 1 0
VODI 0 83 26 415 1887 645 10 0
ODI 0 4 0 186 1143 737 69 0
CDI 0 1 0 88 1362 6576 397 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 237 5258 2592 1607

Date: 2019-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 188 5039 164 968 298 52 0 0
OW 0 194 71 936 684 65 0 0
VODI 0 16 7 537 1904 243 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 152 2219 1190 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 784 8497 426 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 200 4426 2498 317
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 188 4873 169 1269 1115 140 0 0
OW 0 278 41 582 1100 193 0 0
VODI 0 83 24 394 1580 894 0 0
ODI 0 14 7 207 804 863 23 0
CDI 0 1 1 135 1221 7102 750 0
VCDI 0 1 0 11 269 5281 2152 317


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