Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-06-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78790 20827 470 2822 564 25 16 0
OW 27 460 119 1801 1577 100 12 0
VODI 0 149 62 1203 3111 918 26 0
ODI 0 93 10 457 3229 2488 280 0
CDI 0 79 7 326 3833 8552 1789 3
VCDI 0 2 0 146 1215 10815 22919 17726
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78473 21425 515 3280 652 16 17 0
OW 16 531 114 2218 1736 152 9 0
VODI 0 199 58 1270 3551 1442 43 0
ODI 0 100 13 500 3262 2497 398 0
CDI 0 7 5 764 4599 7746 1310 20
VCDI 0 1 0 182 1403 12407 21955 14162
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79065 22255 525 3124 559 10 6 0
OW 19 406 138 2366 898 31 8 0
VODI 0 139 29 1684 3579 195 10 0
ODI 0 43 6 221 5720 2613 17 0
CDI 0 2 0 142 3807 11427 1238 1
VCDI 0 0 0 69 967 7532 20548 17649
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79508 22861 521 3285 665 8 10 0
OW 13 482 158 2547 1225 33 6 0
VODI 0 155 26 1427 4962 402 11 0
ODI 0 36 5 241 4801 3702 92 0
CDI 0 20 9 169 3944 9816 1319 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 844 7557 20065 16122
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79507 22974 555 3757 803 9 7 0
OW 14 391 117 2046 1282 34 9 0
VODI 0 133 32 1388 4588 599 10 0
ODI 0 35 6 306 4772 3223 61 0
CDI 0 21 9 172 4151 10043 1238 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 845 7610 20178 16122

Date: 2019-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79611 24366 529 3239 646 54 0 0
OW 12 662 189 2620 1685 49 0 0
VODI 0 192 30 1339 5569 867 9 0
ODI 0 139 5 342 4229 3126 72 0
CDI 0 92 11 325 3309 9562 1289 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 1491 8021 22001 11363
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79611 24591 579 3660 929 54 0 0
OW 12 461 140 2143 1553 82 0 0
VODI 0 173 31 1369 5374 835 9 0
ODI 0 136 3 375 4005 2785 86 0
CDI 0 76 11 300 3616 9669 1212 0
VCDI 0 14 0 21 1452 8254 22064 11363

Date: 2019-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80757 24621 547 2940 599 41 17 0
OW 12 494 210 2297 806 20 1 0
VODI 0 98 27 2148 3579 116 6 0
ODI 0 44 7 340 8726 1842 18 0
CDI 0 22 8 126 2323 14024 765 0
VCDI 0 1 0 1 1086 10556 16704 11119
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80759 24537 599 3866 1479 66 17 0
OW 10 451 132 2021 2358 210 6 0
VODI 0 179 46 1233 5436 1348 29 0
ODI 0 30 5 394 3271 2500 80 0
CDI 0 82 17 333 3264 10356 1029 0
VCDI 0 1 0 5 1311 12119 16350 11119

Date: 2019-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81504 25447 558 3024 654 48 0 0
OW 9 593 165 2831 1244 42 0 0
VODI 0 148 22 1830 5902 270 4 0
ODI 0 77 18 294 6260 1874 21 0
CDI 0 11 5 121 2952 12842 1072 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1240 12716 16187 7062
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81506 25272 567 4286 1939 90 1 0
OW 7 653 126 1987 3224 204 6 0
VODI 0 188 48 1076 5043 1251 20 0
ODI 0 100 7 398 3129 1531 82 0
CDI 0 63 20 339 3492 10361 1510 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 1425 14355 15665 7062

Date: 2019-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82118 26182 574 3317 810 67 0 0
OW 4 440 164 3009 2136 89 0 0
VODI 0 53 20 1449 6596 636 2 0
ODI 0 54 15 313 4617 2165 14 0
CDI 0 14 6 108 2832 13350 1384 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 937 13071 16995 3506
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82120 25801 596 4634 3570 270 0 0
OW 2 595 98 1706 3126 453 3 0
VODI 0 183 47 965 4035 1365 8 0
ODI 0 61 15 505 2519 1624 54 0
CDI 0 103 23 375 3527 11068 2198 17
VCDI 0 1 0 11 1151 14598 16132 3489


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 05:29:25 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy