Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-03-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70245 14137 160 685 344 51 0 0
OW 52 636 61 315 283 67 0 0
VODI 0 272 53 476 480 134 3 0
ODI 0 66 18 234 538 318 12 0
CDI 0 24 4 101 647 631 127 0
VCDI 0 19 9 129 1091 3642 7594 5442
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69920 13912 167 720 595 103 0 0
OW 52 556 42 312 277 165 1 0
VODI 0 276 41 328 398 294 13 0
ODI 0 75 23 231 419 422 47 0
CDI 0 17 7 128 542 806 195 0
VCDI 0 0 1 103 564 3288 8260 5800
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69137 14674 183 738 374 92 9 0
OW 52 446 71 484 264 92 17 0
VODI 0 116 38 476 580 186 36 0
ODI 0 29 2 142 654 331 43 0
CDI 0 4 1 76 588 1191 260 0
VCDI 0 3 0 54 416 2733 8447 6061
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69182 14680 191 741 343 60 25 0
OW 52 440 61 501 260 99 29 0
VODI 0 115 40 432 543 172 59 0
ODI 0 31 5 164 700 269 64 0
CDI 0 11 4 80 703 789 217 0
VCDI 0 35 9 87 722 3506 7419 6260
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69182 14712 199 760 355 64 31 0
OW 52 408 51 478 264 93 25 0
VODI 0 116 41 411 488 182 61 0
ODI 0 31 5 177 637 257 54 0
CDI 0 9 5 96 731 690 284 0
VCDI 0 36 9 83 796 3609 7358 6260

Date: 2019-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68735 14640 195 863 463 135 20 0
OW 52 441 51 402 296 92 28 0
VODI 0 138 41 403 494 167 53 0
ODI 0 27 8 195 636 272 68 0
CDI 0 21 1 86 741 738 182 0
VCDI 0 76 15 118 969 3349 7842 6047
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68735 14684 199 900 469 140 21 0
OW 52 391 50 380 315 86 26 0
VODI 0 145 35 375 433 165 57 0
ODI 0 26 10 182 590 262 65 0
CDI 0 20 2 114 740 713 217 0
VCDI 0 77 15 116 1052 3387 7807 6047

Date: 2019-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67874 15077 186 736 534 157 20 0
OW 61 349 81 544 268 109 27 0
VODI 0 83 34 418 793 156 62 0
ODI 0 31 9 144 891 285 80 0
CDI 0 6 2 45 777 1102 283 5
VCDI 0 0 0 16 277 2082 8508 6988
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67882 14976 195 824 668 240 35 0
OW 53 367 56 308 298 144 49 0
VODI 0 130 34 407 422 224 101 0
ODI 0 33 17 167 581 320 99 0
CDI 0 20 1 92 819 693 343 0
VCDI 0 20 9 105 752 2270 8353 6993

Date: 2019-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67815 15140 193 853 604 142 24 0
OW 52 361 56 472 306 107 48 0
VODI 0 151 48 430 627 177 75 0
ODI 0 32 12 164 711 310 106 0
CDI 0 7 0 70 635 828 266 1
VCDI 0 0 0 28 431 1857 8428 7533
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67814 14892 179 812 697 204 81 0
OW 53 457 45 254 242 149 61 0
VODI 0 240 48 406 346 232 117 0
ODI 0 70 25 303 471 287 119 0
CDI 0 32 12 185 785 573 320 0
VCDI 0 0 0 57 773 1976 8249 7534

Date: 2019-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67805 15088 189 901 538 142 19 0
OW 52 379 47 451 359 137 39 0
VODI 0 199 34 367 643 176 73 0
ODI 0 74 17 171 685 335 123 0
CDI 0 31 16 88 575 741 340 0
VCDI 0 3 4 63 419 1603 8629 7545
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67804 14873 174 815 677 226 42 0
OW 53 437 48 267 233 175 58 0
VODI 0 264 31 394 366 220 144 0
ODI 0 132 14 260 500 306 202 0
CDI 0 57 33 184 859 595 411 0
VCDI 0 11 7 121 584 1612 8366 7545


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