Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-12-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 739 24 53 7 17 0 0
OW 0 98 18 82 29 23 5 0
VODI 0 49 6 89 75 15 21 0
ODI 0 21 1 25 102 21 18 0
CDI 0 30 4 32 81 72 41 29
VCDI 0 14 4 39 127 1118 9545 19394
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 623 7 39 0 0 0 0
OW 0 152 17 55 19 4 4 0
VODI 0 115 5 65 40 11 18 0
ODI 0 68 0 32 67 8 26 0
CDI 0 55 4 32 84 28 50 17
VCDI 0 62 14 115 413 935 9866 18983
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51 1080 19 48 1 0 0 0
OW 0 153 6 73 27 1 0 0
VODI 0 153 3 42 53 14 0 0
ODI 0 106 5 23 42 45 0 0
CDI 0 134 14 88 98 111 22 4
VCDI 0 62 16 242 671 2382 8150 18143
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27 1003 13 52 1 0 0 0
OW 0 239 4 59 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 234 12 49 70 3 0 0
ODI 0 126 8 38 51 42 0 0
CDI 0 145 6 77 99 122 49 68
VCDI 0 107 24 223 683 2626 7247 18554
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27 1097 13 53 5 0 0 0
OW 0 218 9 63 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 199 6 52 60 1 0 0
ODI 0 115 10 39 56 32 0 0
CDI 0 136 9 63 96 123 47 58
VCDI 0 89 20 228 685 2637 7249 18564

Date: 2018-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39 1073 12 45 1 0 0 0
OW 0 264 13 45 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 323 3 57 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 219 16 55 40 22 0 0
CDI 0 152 15 108 104 60 14 23
VCDI 0 150 25 318 886 2506 5932 19509
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 39 1138 14 50 5 0 0 0
OW 0 262 11 48 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 329 11 53 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 177 11 70 43 21 0 0
CDI 0 145 11 102 97 53 13 28
VCDI 0 130 26 305 890 2514 5933 19504

Date: 2018-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 1535 16 68 1 0 0 0
OW 0 410 24 81 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 15 274 88 1 0 0
ODI 0 67 13 102 137 32 0 0
CDI 0 51 11 153 273 199 32 14
VCDI 0 13 3 77 480 2517 7015 18206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 1144 10 60 10 0 0 0
OW 0 338 9 47 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 302 18 83 51 0 0 0
ODI 0 142 8 127 49 24 0 0
CDI 0 129 12 81 87 103 25 5
VCDI 0 161 25 357 783 2622 7022 18215

Date: 2018-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1265 20 86 5 0 0 0
OW 0 290 16 133 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 126 20 210 112 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 12 183 200 39 1 0
CDI 0 4 2 123 410 242 43 72
VCDI 0 0 0 82 632 3339 8347 16014
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 956 10 60 16 0 0 0
OW 0 263 11 64 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 245 12 97 68 0 0 0
ODI 0 150 10 96 71 9 0 0
CDI 0 87 20 134 197 141 42 13
VCDI 0 16 7 366 1009 3470 8349 16073

Date: 2018-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1100 15 68 7 0 0 0
OW 0 222 24 97 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 16 121 204 5 0 0
ODI 0 38 7 96 168 112 0 0
CDI 0 13 2 47 246 420 39 65
VCDI 0 0 0 18 385 2980 8810 16597
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1059 14 82 16 0 0 0
OW 0 188 11 83 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 12 79 168 26 0 0
ODI 0 76 14 67 95 79 0 0
CDI 0 25 13 91 111 239 33 19
VCDI 0 0 0 45 566 3173 8816 16643


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