Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2018-10-18
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-10-12:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
94069 |
5049 |
56 |
154 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
42 |
10 |
116 |
79 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
7 |
5 |
57 |
169 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
118 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
139 |
282 |
33 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1536 |
5129 |
1807 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
94724 |
4674 |
26 |
91 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
139 |
21 |
94 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
39 |
18 |
163 |
66 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
0 |
108 |
132 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
255 |
79 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
274 |
3728 |
3623 |
714 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
94960 |
4663 |
22 |
91 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
143 |
21 |
129 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
46 |
13 |
146 |
77 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
78 |
161 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
283 |
191 |
3 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
2948 |
4262 |
578 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
93710 |
5720 |
36 |
148 |
95 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
156 |
18 |
128 |
40 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
70 |
14 |
103 |
101 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
6 |
72 |
132 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
215 |
286 |
35 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
1670 |
4673 |
1531 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
93710 |
5730 |
34 |
135 |
88 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
153 |
17 |
121 |
40 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
62 |
16 |
116 |
97 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
7 |
75 |
133 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
227 |
250 |
30 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
1715 |
4678 |
1531 |
|
Date: 2018-10-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
93217 |
6002 |
37 |
124 |
83 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
181 |
22 |
181 |
73 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
46 |
16 |
169 |
101 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
3 |
59 |
168 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
285 |
185 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
1537 |
4472 |
2028 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
93217 |
6028 |
39 |
110 |
76 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
169 |
21 |
152 |
59 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
32 |
15 |
189 |
95 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
3 |
75 |
151 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
320 |
147 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
1582 |
4474 |
2028 |
|
Date: 2018-10-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
93084 |
6372 |
39 |
147 |
77 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
166 |
21 |
213 |
75 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
33 |
12 |
177 |
139 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
67 |
147 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
192 |
123 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
270 |
3951 |
2492 |
1211 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
93084 |
6188 |
30 |
134 |
90 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
217 |
10 |
110 |
63 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
105 |
19 |
125 |
56 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
52 |
6 |
120 |
57 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
8 |
116 |
201 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
433 |
4019 |
2492 |
1211 |
|
Date: 2018-10-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
92957 |
6394 |
40 |
157 |
69 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
168 |
13 |
164 |
97 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
51 |
12 |
156 |
186 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
11 |
5 |
88 |
126 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
54 |
202 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
290 |
3057 |
3147 |
1478 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
92957 |
6185 |
29 |
115 |
79 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
199 |
9 |
124 |
123 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
122 |
15 |
109 |
124 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
55 |
9 |
94 |
70 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
41 |
4 |
107 |
179 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
22 |
6 |
94 |
395 |
3080 |
3147 |
1478 |
|
Date: 2018-10-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
92112 |
6849 |
38 |
135 |
9 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
168 |
15 |
166 |
151 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
49 |
14 |
142 |
218 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
4 |
86 |
155 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
56 |
150 |
122 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
223 |
3064 |
3555 |
1408 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
92111 |
6744 |
40 |
221 |
99 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
135 |
9 |
94 |
201 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
88 |
7 |
75 |
186 |
120 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
50 |
4 |
69 |
57 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
46 |
7 |
61 |
113 |
165 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
10 |
5 |
73 |
250 |
2937 |
3553 |
1408 |
|
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