Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-10-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13423 7237 31 96 2 0 0 0
OW 0 1027 59 418 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 250 61 1181 338 13 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 150 621 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 413 1243 212 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3885 1275 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13470 6882 48 124 9 0 0 0
OW 0 1123 49 497 77 1 0 0
VODI 0 330 50 850 780 16 0 0
ODI 0 12 11 168 594 169 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 566 824 331 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 4200 866 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13402 7404 39 126 10 0 0 0
OW 0 939 68 354 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 136 54 1094 540 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 125 1534 124 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 347 1297 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 4260 158 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12554 7470 39 232 13 0 0 0
OW 0 989 71 590 190 0 0 0
VODI 0 127 42 1071 702 64 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 1193 602 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 221 1010 265 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3459 1073 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12554 7744 46 262 12 0 0 0
OW 0 748 65 654 160 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 41 924 716 215 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 134 1149 449 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 282 971 214 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3500 1111 0

Date: 2018-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11547 7573 59 186 1 0 0 0
OW 0 775 81 682 420 112 0 0
VODI 0 26 8 478 1270 559 31 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 377 1452 210 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 77 906 320 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2728 2195 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11547 7776 87 390 141 27 0 0
OW 0 539 45 502 307 90 0 0
VODI 0 59 16 459 1231 637 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 374 1358 215 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 92 876 337 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2769 2185 0

Date: 2018-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11188 7307 50 133 12 0 0 0
OW 0 591 68 380 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 35 590 537 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 43 1525 171 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 275 3149 176 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2732 2939 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11186 7407 94 506 257 10 0 0
OW 2 486 42 343 437 38 0 0
VODI 0 99 18 289 1401 648 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 293 1710 246 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 47 935 456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2711 2413 0

Date: 2018-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11244 6989 24 114 7 0 0 0
OW 112 831 57 315 101 0 0 0
VODI 0 256 66 534 355 31 0 0
ODI 0 22 9 282 881 145 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 823 2301 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 3338 3153 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11223 7244 69 382 212 0 0 0
OW 110 642 39 322 283 46 0 0
VODI 23 209 46 557 921 415 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 28 660 1407 111 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 89 1042 497 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 2905 2589 0

Date: 2018-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10419 6619 25 126 1 0 0 0
OW 27 1352 97 497 156 0 0 0
VODI 0 170 37 616 628 60 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 165 754 305 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 486 2326 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3701 3492 3
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10418 7047 70 489 245 0 0 0
OW 25 868 55 324 373 50 0 0
VODI 3 215 34 550 826 551 0 0
ODI 0 14 2 29 510 1544 56 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 64 1190 488 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 3057 2960 3


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