Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-10-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2697 4225 27 66 0 0 0 0
OW 4 564 34 311 157 0 0 0
VODI 0 352 27 315 666 356 0 0
ODI 0 29 9 101 564 1268 83 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 430 1649 758 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 262 3028 6912 7159
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2572 3800 14 82 3 0 0 0
OW 0 514 35 204 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 204 32 379 590 241 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 83 456 738 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 401 1146 869 32
VCDI 0 0 0 0 128 2894 8445 8071
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2375 4481 60 238 24 0 0 0
OW 0 124 28 340 126 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 7 232 424 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 644 379 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 203 1599 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 4262 8828 7482
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2101 3956 60 319 20 0 0 0
OW 0 161 51 399 199 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 2 113 539 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 368 418 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 93 1200 239 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 2937 9747 9099
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2101 3998 70 418 78 0 0 0
OW 0 116 39 273 187 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 4 128 463 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 356 356 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 132 1021 231 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 3183 9752 9097

Date: 2017-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1689 3652 36 140 8 0 0 0
OW 0 492 62 436 238 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 13 272 470 51 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 357 218 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 93 894 273 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 2022 8502 12060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1689 3853 52 281 37 0 0 0
OW 0 265 35 312 286 8 0 0
VODI 0 40 24 232 395 81 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 313 206 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 131 707 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 60 2183 8492 12060

Date: 2017-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2126 3137 50 123 14 0 0 0
OW 0 389 48 420 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 14 275 602 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 370 591 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 85 593 275 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 1858 7159 13715
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2126 3110 57 337 109 0 0 0
OW 0 344 27 225 242 102 0 0
VODI 0 85 22 197 309 169 0 0
ODI 0 25 5 41 278 229 2 0
CDI 0 12 1 21 162 464 117 0
VCDI 0 2 0 19 93 2098 7320 13732

Date: 2017-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1427 3860 38 117 7 0 0 0
OW 0 358 54 388 112 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 20 303 419 20 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 50 519 126 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 220 548 42 15
VCDI 0 0 0 8 117 2281 6979 13940
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1427 3679 42 281 204 0 0 0
OW 0 416 39 193 345 5 0 0
VODI 0 132 22 231 321 131 0 0
ODI 0 51 3 94 186 261 6 0
CDI 0 20 6 48 204 404 81 21
VCDI 0 11 5 37 134 2174 6934 13934

Date: 2017-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1204 3508 29 81 2 0 0 0
OW 0 516 62 491 143 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 17 346 444 58 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 86 454 180 0 4
CDI 0 0 0 8 279 540 109 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 1790 8343 13199
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1204 3175 48 259 163 0 0 0
OW 0 673 20 150 241 182 0 0
VODI 0 206 39 328 173 204 0 0
ODI 0 22 2 203 294 224 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 388 260 182 21
VCDI 0 0 0 15 170 1698 8242 13211


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