Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-09-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10604 7206 15 52 1 0 0 0
OW 0 593 47 144 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 38 602 288 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 11 295 2078 333 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 547 6585 1684 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 362 358 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10895 6678 14 59 2 0 0 0
OW 0 606 51 162 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 210 44 594 316 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 9 365 2110 191 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 1255 6658 728 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 735 322 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10111 7669 31 70 3 0 0 0
OW 0 348 67 270 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 15 770 326 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 196 2541 308 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 609 6519 1182 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 82 875 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10152 7335 45 76 2 0 0 0
OW 0 251 58 360 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 16 458 462 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 205 1151 1228 201 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 67 2628 6075 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 32 927 169
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10152 7382 63 154 5 0 0 0
OW 0 173 32 327 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 19 377 483 57 0 0
ODI 0 11 5 241 1100 1346 175 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 87 2363 5799 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 176 1229 190

Date: 2017-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10372 6779 45 91 2 0 0 0
OW 0 255 51 333 83 3 0 0
VODI 0 63 21 328 499 85 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 140 1011 1190 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 156 2666 5963 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 139 1536 172
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10372 6767 58 221 14 0 0 0
OW 0 230 30 220 119 1 0 0
VODI 0 89 24 276 506 110 2 0
ODI 0 11 5 175 995 1340 80 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 117 2413 5571 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 219 1920 178

Date: 2017-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9674 7544 53 102 0 0 0 0
OW 0 105 70 307 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 396 250 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 1035 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 217 3800 247 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 807 6470 882
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9674 7322 56 175 13 0 0 0
OW 0 241 42 225 107 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 25 317 409 138 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 129 882 1003 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 104 3273 3960 181
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 257 2707 701

Date: 2017-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9639 7589 36 61 0 0 0 0
OW 0 244 66 214 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 29 555 90 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 217 730 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 913 976 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 113 5321 5256 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9639 7227 39 86 1 0 0 0
OW 0 375 38 209 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 211 44 402 270 22 0 0
ODI 0 43 10 323 805 295 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 750 3165 1558 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2816 3701 0

Date: 2017-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9963 6919 60 107 0 0 0 0
OW 0 340 53 274 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 23 455 191 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 108 797 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 800 837 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 451 7263 3357 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9957 6388 58 210 43 2 0 0
OW 6 514 16 142 112 9 0 0
VODI 0 333 40 239 263 32 0 0
ODI 0 77 24 310 712 159 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 998 2149 498 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 118 5752 2866 0


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