Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2017-08-03

Model: ARC MFC - TOPAZ

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-08-07

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 1331 74 264 10 0 0 0
OW 0 186 41 619 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 655 426 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 6882 645 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1169 14273 1194 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1379 4729 2951
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 1152 66 320 38 1 0 0
OW 0 302 38 619 130 3 0 0
VODI 0 63 12 574 1739 119 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 4516 3474 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 2109 10281 2625 94
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2421 3238 2857

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 287 304 21 53 3 0 0 0
OW 0 18 3 77 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 147 73 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 217 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 327 291 96 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 26 113 342 659
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 287 267 20 42 7 0 0 0
OW 0 37 1 84 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 5 93 90 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 121 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 320 243 150 8
VCDI 0 0 0 18 104 161 288 651

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 1561 2759 23 78 0 0 0 0
OW 0 113 32 295 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 847 145 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 180 958 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 462 1469 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 324 717 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 1561 2373 18 111 0 0 0 0
OW 0 339 15 129 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 153 19 379 97 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 507 381 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 274 1087 1211 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 569 717 0

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 4423 1193 12 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 4423 1190 9 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 4 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 3210 2749 21 21 0 0 0 0
OW 5 75 24 212 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 194 125 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 491 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 12 92 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 3210 2623 27 88 2 0 0 0
OW 5 150 11 171 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 8 144 175 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 375 56 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 56 41 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 316 2525 15 31 3 0 0 0
OW 0 156 37 82 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 16 315 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 358 31 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 51 875 159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 38 240 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 316 2432 17 29 6 0 0 0
OW 0 176 18 81 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 29 281 61 1 0 0
ODI 0 10 4 47 337 258 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 55 685 396 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 3058 2870 27 76 8 0 0 0
OW 4 17 7 80 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 50 62 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 53 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 3025 2835 16 74 2 0 0 0
OW 37 47 18 73 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 0 60 97 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 22 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 9184 1969 21 80 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 30 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 9184 1965 20 98 11 0 0 0
OW 0 4 3 18 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 7702 2970 36 113 12 0 0 0
OW 0 70 28 146 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 409 53 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 78 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 6 61 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 7702 2929 35 145 12 0 0 0
OW 0 105 24 132 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 7 375 105 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 28 59 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 12037 948 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 12037 948 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 2314 2886 37 348 30 2 0 0
OW 0 0 1 148 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 15 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 2314 2870 37 414 31 2 0 0
OW 0 16 1 96 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 6887 1614 17 58 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 1 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 6887 1616 17 52 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 1 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 19379 777 8 43 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 19379 777 8 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageGODAE.sh to. 31. mai 06:31:30 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy