Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-06-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 903 1079 564 52 1 1 0
OW 0 23 172 443 111 6 1 0
VODI 0 1 118 524 357 41 7 0
ODI 0 0 101 426 880 405 54 0
CDI 0 0 107 815 1761 2172 501 0
VCDI 0 0 0 43 746 2520 8345 8802
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 946 960 598 60 5 0 0
OW 0 22 200 459 125 5 0 0
VODI 0 30 137 568 472 148 2 0
ODI 0 14 107 415 1014 582 55 0
CDI 0 1 113 914 1971 2398 768 0
VCDI 0 0 0 103 992 3065 6566 8267
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1251 1187 754 55 4 2 0
OW 0 19 67 656 72 1 2 0
VODI 0 7 74 729 607 32 6 0
ODI 0 3 38 549 1891 366 18 0
CDI 0 3 10 153 2483 3798 989 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 283 1978 7723 6269
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1304 1304 770 64 1 4 0
OW 0 12 72 762 100 0 1 0
VODI 0 10 67 719 834 56 10 0
ODI 0 3 50 541 1673 672 32 0
CDI 0 6 24 345 2175 3631 2444 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 325 2338 7039 4693
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1301 1297 848 67 1 4 0
OW 0 14 66 657 120 0 1 0
VODI 0 9 77 721 872 52 6 0
ODI 0 5 51 546 1572 655 28 0
CDI 0 6 26 364 2231 3693 2474 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 309 2297 7017 4693

Date: 2017-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 713 1802 1028 52 3 1 0
OW 0 8 106 794 190 2 1 0
VODI 0 1 61 738 986 127 2 0
ODI 0 0 30 546 1653 849 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 301 2254 3845 2694 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 257 3342 5697 3942
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 715 1790 1129 73 3 1 0
OW 0 7 103 663 204 3 1 0
VODI 0 0 72 729 1024 140 1 0
ODI 0 0 33 559 1547 815 38 0
CDI 0 0 1 331 2287 3786 2716 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 257 3421 5686 3942

Date: 2017-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1560 1313 928 34 3 1 0
OW 0 0 76 936 63 0 1 0
VODI 0 0 8 1219 825 24 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 532 3110 331 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 1193 5688 726 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 218 3423 9423 401
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1542 1220 1024 67 3 1 0
OW 0 18 75 722 240 5 1 0
VODI 0 0 81 775 1246 168 5 0
ODI 0 0 19 636 1541 876 43 0
CDI 0 0 2 489 2099 4518 2888 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 250 3899 7228 401

Date: 2017-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1609 1624 1015 73 25 0 0
OW 0 1 87 1089 188 44 0 0
VODI 0 7 15 1131 903 149 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 483 2426 555 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 33 1359 5638 1003 0
VCDI 0 1 0 2 224 3682 7786 913
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1599 1368 974 86 25 0 0
OW 0 9 180 800 328 43 0 0
VODI 0 1 95 828 1245 307 0 0
ODI 0 5 78 666 1464 1118 86 0
CDI 0 15 10 484 1772 5615 2208 0
VCDI 0 1 0 1 278 2985 6495 913

Date: 2017-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1860 1365 1076 120 38 0 0
OW 0 10 162 1144 203 59 0 0
VODI 0 6 12 1238 981 228 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 502 2330 753 24 0
CDI 0 3 1 73 1158 5699 2850 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 15 2061 6723 1378
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1846 1142 1081 159 21 0 0
OW 0 18 180 800 369 72 0 0
VODI 0 0 120 823 1097 396 48 0
ODI 0 15 91 832 1616 1514 368 0
CDI 0 7 9 493 1493 4951 3902 0
VCDI 0 1 0 4 73 1884 5279 1378


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