Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-06-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 156 154 121 8 0 0 0
OW 0 12 57 91 17 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 66 117 28 7 7 0
ODI 0 0 36 160 51 30 29 27
CDI 0 0 33 324 326 349 242 54
VCDI 0 0 18 247 1041 3849 15323 9100
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 262 123 55 8 0 0 0
OW 0 24 64 78 17 2 0 0
VODI 0 11 74 101 34 11 11 12
ODI 0 0 55 160 55 40 30 33
CDI 0 0 36 280 370 420 325 66
VCDI 0 0 26 429 1375 4958 14258 8279
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 329 315 34 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 95 149 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 51 205 89 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 35 245 183 26 1 1
CDI 0 0 22 513 921 547 177 17
VCDI 0 0 9 305 1276 5272 14819 6413
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 436 170 76 9 0 0 0
OW 0 31 85 129 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 70 246 84 10 2 0
ODI 0 2 104 370 178 50 11 0
CDI 0 0 77 685 743 736 339 0
VCDI 0 0 35 453 1709 4027 9956 11208
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 439 170 98 9 0 0 0
OW 0 27 76 119 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 78 237 90 15 3 0
ODI 0 3 102 357 156 55 16 0
CDI 0 0 76 692 740 656 325 0
VCDI 0 0 39 456 1724 4097 9964 11208

Date: 2017-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 416 232 124 12 0 0 0
OW 0 31 89 116 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 92 293 87 26 4 0
ODI 0 3 145 399 189 39 48 0
CDI 0 0 94 651 643 756 299 0
VCDI 0 0 52 545 1591 3593 11295 10161
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 405 228 108 15 0 0 0
OW 0 40 84 110 29 2 1 0
VODI 0 30 93 315 85 32 7 0
ODI 0 5 157 393 182 33 55 0
CDI 0 0 84 653 613 712 261 0
VCDI 0 0 58 549 1625 3635 11322 10161

Date: 2017-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 476 473 206 11 0 0 0
OW 0 22 192 337 26 0 1 0
VODI 0 1 61 598 112 7 0 0
ODI 0 1 23 357 336 47 3 0
CDI 0 0 66 457 1063 1384 116 0
VCDI 0 0 0 277 772 3275 16647 4735
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 428 304 171 12 0 0 0
OW 0 40 105 109 25 4 1 0
VODI 0 17 129 321 100 32 2 0
ODI 0 7 142 431 143 70 22 0
CDI 0 7 62 624 546 868 169 0
VCDI 0 1 73 576 1494 3739 16573 4735

Date: 2017-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 615 643 301 14 0 0 0
OW 0 12 95 312 19 2 1 0
VODI 0 15 47 444 95 16 1 0
ODI 0 2 22 394 291 107 2 0
CDI 0 0 90 387 969 1227 727 11
VCDI 0 0 5 431 773 3144 15138 5730
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 530 255 160 15 0 0 0
OW 0 69 111 153 22 5 1 0
VODI 0 27 205 304 70 32 1 0
ODI 0 18 142 401 132 92 21 0
CDI 0 0 95 600 582 827 610 0
VCDI 0 0 94 651 1340 3540 15236 5741

Date: 2017-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 645 564 248 19 1 1 0
OW 0 19 139 324 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 74 450 169 23 0 0
ODI 0 12 40 450 280 116 63 0
CDI 0 2 124 409 1105 1682 515 28
VCDI 0 0 69 437 797 4877 14479 3882
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 581 270 147 21 1 0 0
OW 0 42 125 141 33 7 1 0
VODI 0 24 159 427 65 34 1 0
ODI 0 0 127 370 217 89 26 0
CDI 0 26 135 656 850 1449 405 0
VCDI 0 18 194 577 1209 5119 14625 3910


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