Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-05-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 158 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 34 64 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 5 50 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 41 43 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 47 141 112 33 7
VCDI 0 0 0 126 396 1541 9899 19183
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 161 93 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 51 36 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 21 51 18 3 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 64 56 40 4 0
CDI 0 1 0 76 122 179 94 35
VCDI 0 0 0 166 575 3038 9838 17276
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 175 152 67 4 0 0 0
OW 0 16 16 26 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 3 121 28 4 0 0
ODI 0 9 0 68 53 47 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 93 159 212 110 15
VCDI 0 0 0 134 593 2087 10747 17121
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 134 44 1 0 0 0
OW 0 4 39 66 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 15 108 42 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 76 68 14 7 0
CDI 0 1 0 102 100 222 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 170 418 1722 11824 16682
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 149 78 4 0 0 0
OW 0 8 33 43 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 6 71 32 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 80 69 25 5 0
CDI 0 1 0 113 112 252 130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 181 412 1680 11805 16682

Date: 2017-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 119 84 31 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 11 33 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 36 115 46 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 76 95 22 8 0
CDI 0 2 0 119 74 208 131 3
VCDI 0 0 0 122 354 1724 11873 16778
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 121 88 35 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 14 38 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 29 97 41 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 70 82 38 13 0
CDI 0 1 0 112 88 245 153 4
VCDI 0 0 0 144 353 1670 11846 16777

Date: 2017-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 120 54 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 88 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 100 71 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 56 150 21 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 162 156 227 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 323 2393 13476 14429
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 116 47 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 46 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 5 117 42 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 46 85 34 37 0
CDI 0 0 1 99 136 231 224 2
VCDI 0 0 0 134 432 2375 13367 14427

Date: 2017-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 115 46 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 45 89 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 8 89 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 63 84 16 4 0
CDI 0 0 5 142 230 284 178 16
VCDI 0 0 0 108 583 3795 12750 13288
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 100 32 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 24 55 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 36 82 9 1 3 0
ODI 0 1 2 63 30 62 28 0
CDI 0 2 18 131 189 302 218 0
VCDI 0 0 0 174 682 3730 12683 13304

Date: 2017-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 117 97 1 0 0 0
OW 0 11 21 66 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 10 85 16 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 52 55 62 1 0
CDI 0 0 41 131 220 316 191 0
VCDI 0 0 1 148 695 3901 12625 13119
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 97 79 3 0 0 0
OW 0 1 27 53 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 18 69 22 28 5 0
ODI 0 7 5 61 41 126 71 0
CDI 0 0 54 149 159 374 332 0
VCDI 0 0 0 168 766 3752 12409 13119


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