Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-04-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 303 100 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 42 135 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 19 191 183 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 25 111 176 91 95 1
CDI 0 0 1 39 121 307 235 30
VCDI 0 0 0 22 239 1913 11655 15911
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 81 183 63 3 0 0 0
OW 0 1 5 196 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 214 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 120 222 79 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 175 267 257 24
VCDI 0 0 0 47 219 2490 12205 15122
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 110 150 12 0 0 0
OW 0 2 2 42 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 40 282 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 200 54 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 109 394 230 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 86 1293 12314 16578
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 138 99 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 48 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 34 35 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 135 140 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 166 170 156 46
VCDI 0 0 0 14 102 1218 9784 19678
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 138 108 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 45 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 33 37 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 120 110 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 178 178 145 45
VCDI 0 0 0 15 100 1242 9794 19679

Date: 2017-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 58 112 118 3 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 43 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 34 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 61 36 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 70 225 92 54
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 759 6205 24125
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 58 112 127 2 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 43 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 32 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 67 31 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 48 241 115 70
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 747 6179 24109

Date: 2017-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 81 185 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 11 52 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 77 28 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 66 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 85 138 17 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 96 954 5979 24147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 79 178 45 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 17 31 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 82 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 43 30 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 90 130 30 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 121 978 5966 24134

Date: 2017-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 204 101 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 20 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 30 66 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 75 47 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 101 103 81 7
VCDI 0 0 0 9 194 1441 9623 19868
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 187 84 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 20 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 22 34 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 25 85 23 12 1 0
CDI 0 0 9 37 87 96 51 13
VCDI 0 0 0 46 234 1450 9652 19862

Date: 2017-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 79 188 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 19 24 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 60 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 106 26 12 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 101 38 34 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 89 1140 11123 18979
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 75 171 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 23 25 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 44 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 67 9 6 4 0
CDI 0 0 1 84 25 93 137 9
VCDI 0 0 0 15 181 1091 11017 18971


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