Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-03-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56178 21939 5604 1683 276 24 1 0
OW 52 31 81 779 360 80 4 0
VODI 0 5 27 450 676 207 32 0
ODI 0 0 5 131 599 418 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 573 895 345 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 266 3040 9305 4882
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55699 23900 4319 1706 359 38 0 0
OW 51 31 100 708 382 117 0 0
VODI 0 10 9 391 718 268 17 0
ODI 0 4 0 154 539 448 91 0
CDI 0 2 0 54 477 958 300 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 221 2341 9771 4912
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52909 22052 8827 1502 204 34 0 0
OW 52 31 244 872 265 59 2 0
VODI 0 4 0 453 767 162 6 0
ODI 0 0 1 122 565 404 50 0
CDI 0 0 1 72 486 864 383 0
VCDI 0 0 0 112 374 3657 9358 4206
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58947 21353 3783 1348 214 57 0 0
OW 51 60 200 814 349 75 2 0
VODI 0 3 21 360 705 218 16 0
ODI 0 0 4 165 366 547 84 0
CDI 0 0 0 100 405 796 254 0
VCDI 0 0 0 56 436 3186 9366 4759
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58947 21380 3875 1524 258 44 0 0
OW 51 33 104 670 370 82 1 0
VODI 0 3 25 333 654 280 32 0
ODI 0 0 4 157 375 512 116 0
CDI 0 0 0 105 387 733 208 0
VCDI 0 0 0 54 431 3228 9365 4759

Date: 2017-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50591 23262 10294 1392 240 28 0 0
OW 51 45 100 772 426 93 1 0
VODI 0 7 28 387 595 248 2 0
ODI 0 0 15 132 436 500 129 0
CDI 0 0 0 85 427 730 158 0
VCDI 0 0 0 98 653 4185 9440 3550
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50591 23279 10336 1530 274 33 0 0
OW 51 29 59 648 420 89 0 0
VODI 0 6 30 380 578 300 15 0
ODI 0 0 12 135 441 462 130 0
CDI 0 0 0 79 412 714 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 94 652 4186 9434 3550

Date: 2017-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51726 24318 7936 1142 191 36 0 0
OW 52 111 122 820 271 43 0 0
VODI 0 75 86 533 658 115 3 0
ODI 0 1 0 96 690 339 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 539 857 262 0
VCDI 0 0 0 67 450 3765 9404 4344
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51727 24479 7985 1479 519 63 0 0
OW 51 23 125 479 335 102 0 0
VODI 0 3 32 395 448 294 25 0
ODI 0 0 2 192 410 412 138 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 498 519 219 0
VCDI 0 0 0 79 589 3765 9310 4344

Date: 2017-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50122 25319 8049 1526 222 90 0 0
OW 52 44 131 748 362 99 9 0
VODI 0 9 123 447 663 177 24 0
ODI 0 0 8 133 513 424 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 75 457 751 503 0
VCDI 0 0 0 128 787 3963 7947 5135
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50122 25307 8052 1744 539 144 3 0
OW 52 47 163 435 363 162 11 0
VODI 0 17 58 407 353 300 43 0
ODI 0 1 32 189 383 518 136 0
CDI 0 0 6 129 448 470 480 0
VCDI 0 0 0 153 918 3910 7870 5135

Date: 2017-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50934 25276 7545 1344 175 100 0 0
OW 51 45 207 807 316 110 6 0
VODI 0 17 85 540 498 182 13 0
ODI 0 1 30 157 604 342 22 0
CDI 0 0 11 82 400 651 155 0
VCDI 0 0 0 197 941 3928 8205 5123
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50933 25259 7544 1680 456 174 0 0
OW 52 62 196 520 259 167 10 0
VODI 0 18 95 362 405 270 26 0
ODI 0 0 39 202 370 388 49 0
CDI 0 0 4 145 389 515 167 0
VCDI 0 0 0 218 1055 3799 8149 5123


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