Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-02-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 183 179 85 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 47 89 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 23 130 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 99 62 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 196 309 25 79
VCDI 0 0 0 21 356 2616 7489 20009
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 184 164 73 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 42 112 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 22 137 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 113 98 14 3 1
CDI 0 0 0 64 272 268 163 5
VCDI 0 0 0 74 436 2935 11392 15490
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 131 266 75 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 54 93 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 152 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 96 177 43 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 311 254 116 33
VCDI 0 0 0 11 438 3659 10045 16034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 182 65 1 1 0 0
OW 0 1 11 104 14 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 135 39 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 76 56 25 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 193 208 131 11
VCDI 0 0 0 5 233 2989 11010 16456
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 180 72 2 0 0 0
OW 0 1 13 96 13 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 124 32 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 81 62 24 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 178 245 124 9
VCDI 0 0 0 8 249 2953 11017 16458

Date: 2017-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 207 77 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 11 31 0 6 2 0
VODI 0 0 2 97 11 16 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 45 15 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 58 101 83 142 31
VCDI 0 0 0 2 331 2176 8646 19847
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 207 76 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 9 35 0 9 1 0
VODI 0 0 5 89 14 12 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 90 52 17 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 104 87 155 32
VCDI 0 0 0 4 318 2171 8635 19846

Date: 2017-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 191 86 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 8 41 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 42 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 71 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 148 56 96 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 1560 7210 22386
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 192 73 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 14 25 0 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 41 1 13 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 32 7 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 115 32 109 33
VCDI 0 0 0 3 130 1562 7167 22370

Date: 2017-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 238 62 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 19 26 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 38 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 46 20 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 72 44 50 45
VCDI 0 0 0 10 232 2180 7840 21071
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 229 54 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 17 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 36 2 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 51 20 18 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 81 88 61 86
VCDI 0 0 0 21 226 2114 7826 21030

Date: 2017-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 176 169 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 33 16 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 21 33 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 34 13 0 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 54 13 49 58
VCDI 0 0 0 60 336 1083 8800 21034
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 157 144 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 22 9 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 33 29 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 22 26 20 6 2 0
CDI 0 0 10 49 47 51 73 125
VCDI 0 0 0 99 335 1039 8777 20967


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