Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-02-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51655 25107 10314 1218 171 3 0 0
OW 60 93 256 625 201 16 0 0
VODI 0 54 114 531 372 84 3 0
ODI 0 42 56 307 408 138 17 0
CDI 0 22 49 200 506 401 98 0
VCDI 0 6 71 337 884 3800 8711 2170
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52663 25780 8071 1369 232 39 0 0
OW 60 93 284 638 248 34 0 0
VODI 0 51 111 538 471 94 5 0
ODI 0 17 48 326 543 211 40 0
CDI 0 6 51 253 520 349 119 0
VCDI 0 0 43 337 870 2504 8496 3586
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50422 23800 11589 1749 300 39 0 0
OW 60 51 129 632 277 18 0 0
VODI 0 26 41 535 546 47 2 0
ODI 0 1 16 294 643 195 10 0
CDI 0 0 17 184 567 624 118 0
VCDI 0 0 3 146 999 2936 8848 3236
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54019 22799 8602 1611 487 31 0 0
OW 62 24 150 469 323 37 0 0
VODI 0 6 66 401 487 138 6 0
ODI 0 0 23 224 511 249 12 0
CDI 0 0 12 170 593 866 90 0
VCDI 0 0 7 178 582 3160 8511 4194
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54019 22801 8606 1608 499 39 0 0
OW 62 22 143 474 309 30 1 0
VODI 0 6 66 408 511 142 6 0
ODI 0 0 22 219 523 258 8 0
CDI 0 0 14 162 552 870 88 0
VCDI 0 0 9 182 589 3142 8516 4194

Date: 2017-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56180 20925 8544 1405 349 51 0 0
OW 63 74 142 578 224 42 5 0
VODI 0 22 98 466 395 102 9 0
ODI 0 7 72 230 472 176 16 0
CDI 0 2 38 194 663 527 56 0
VCDI 0 0 37 304 783 2741 8964 4144
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56180 20928 8541 1410 360 52 1 0
OW 63 65 135 573 215 32 3 0
VODI 0 27 106 453 399 102 10 0
ODI 0 7 64 236 454 183 17 0
CDI 0 3 42 174 625 552 57 0
VCDI 0 0 43 331 833 2718 8962 4144

Date: 2017-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57172 23999 4646 1386 275 22 0 0
OW 62 54 149 648 173 44 0 0
VODI 0 17 66 597 415 102 3 0
ODI 0 0 36 190 687 189 7 0
CDI 0 0 13 159 583 691 60 0
VCDI 0 0 3 120 524 3208 9150 3650
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57171 23911 4512 1439 371 58 0 0
OW 63 83 172 487 190 72 2 0
VODI 0 57 101 451 395 123 7 0
ODI 0 18 54 252 433 232 16 0
CDI 0 1 49 203 559 570 93 0
VCDI 0 0 25 268 709 3201 9102 3650

Date: 2017-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54719 25748 5463 1354 278 18 0 0
OW 62 67 174 599 162 69 2 0
VODI 0 23 110 595 422 130 9 0
ODI 0 5 32 211 602 141 17 0
CDI 0 0 14 169 564 607 30 0
VCDI 0 0 12 119 598 4676 7835 3464
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54718 25660 5348 1321 377 71 0 0
OW 63 94 200 470 129 103 5 0
VODI 0 66 97 526 335 130 20 0
ODI 0 14 73 280 432 167 22 0
CDI 0 8 51 220 641 509 40 0
VCDI 0 1 36 230 712 4661 7806 3464

Date: 2017-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51531 27625 6684 1525 261 21 6 0
OW 62 91 190 634 244 39 12 0
VODI 0 27 96 610 502 96 21 0
ODI 0 11 33 215 613 138 32 0
CDI 0 4 21 138 707 758 100 0
VCDI 0 0 22 118 873 5540 7347 2153
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51531 27513 6479 1607 399 57 4 0
OW 62 104 203 460 293 52 22 0
VODI 0 66 135 438 530 115 34 0
ODI 0 24 72 263 510 261 92 0
CDI 0 24 69 216 551 755 160 0
VCDI 0 27 88 256 917 5352 7206 2153


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