Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-01-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52719 21942 10959 2208 260 84 0 0
OW 60 25 141 694 237 19 0 0
VODI 0 2 90 517 510 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 61 317 545 140 1 0
CDI 0 0 32 157 857 777 33 0
VCDI 0 0 11 179 1025 4632 8348 1477
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50773 25984 9961 1353 181 37 0 0
OW 60 53 158 711 178 16 0 0
VODI 0 15 55 645 384 32 0 0
ODI 0 6 25 356 459 147 2 0
CDI 0 0 33 173 786 418 4 0
VCDI 0 0 10 147 632 3169 8177 3960
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51555 24922 10361 1618 132 17 0 0
OW 60 29 132 773 162 10 0 0
VODI 0 2 47 677 431 26 0 0
ODI 0 1 13 227 642 76 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 99 766 376 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 83 783 4377 7520 3181
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52671 23261 10659 1729 153 1 0 0
OW 60 70 211 599 183 26 0 0
VODI 0 45 97 524 361 101 0 0
ODI 0 27 36 353 403 164 0 0
CDI 0 10 53 216 486 464 60 0
VCDI 0 0 27 196 777 3913 8800 2364
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52671 23240 10675 1805 123 0 0 0
OW 60 98 181 595 190 14 0 0
VODI 0 44 114 508 381 95 0 0
ODI 0 23 38 292 399 140 0 0
CDI 0 8 52 212 477 481 49 0
VCDI 0 0 23 205 793 3939 8811 2364

Date: 2017-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52801 26990 7067 1276 170 21 0 0
OW 60 78 268 644 244 27 0 0
VODI 0 27 115 538 449 100 14 0
ODI 0 7 71 311 444 163 33 0
CDI 0 0 55 252 572 414 114 0
VCDI 0 0 53 354 758 2765 9461 2384
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52801 26972 7088 1331 198 19 0 0
OW 60 106 235 627 237 22 0 0
VODI 0 22 139 527 440 95 12 0
ODI 0 2 78 334 473 152 31 0
CDI 0 0 44 202 522 447 112 0
VCDI 0 0 45 354 767 2755 9467 2384

Date: 2017-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51006 27381 8145 1366 218 41 0 0
OW 60 27 174 704 205 29 0 0
VODI 0 6 51 737 469 51 2 0
ODI 0 0 27 307 779 171 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 163 625 636 115 0
VCDI 0 0 0 104 693 2481 8436 3880
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51006 27267 7908 1376 311 58 0 0
OW 60 112 294 601 258 42 0 0
VODI 0 33 141 556 486 99 7 0
ODI 0 2 33 385 530 282 33 0
CDI 0 0 21 277 558 482 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 186 846 2446 8416 3880

Date: 2017-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47822 24696 13309 1453 341 51 6 0
OW 61 41 114 567 265 21 7 0
VODI 0 4 89 470 498 71 11 0
ODI 0 0 33 273 591 176 22 0
CDI 0 0 10 192 580 732 82 0
VCDI 0 0 12 212 852 3010 8694 3732
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47822 24573 13147 1444 490 70 13 0
OW 61 114 202 479 291 59 8 0
VODI 0 46 94 459 554 145 18 0
ODI 0 6 48 281 496 309 21 0
CDI 0 2 41 202 488 740 116 0
VCDI 0 0 35 302 808 2738 8646 3732

Date: 2017-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51925 26042 7470 1610 393 74 0 0
OW 62 30 155 514 272 50 1 0
VODI 0 2 82 401 451 125 6 0
ODI 0 0 53 200 466 224 13 0
CDI 0 0 25 203 571 825 117 0
VCDI 0 0 20 248 713 2937 8231 4589
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51924 25990 7215 1508 459 83 0 0
OW 63 79 293 395 292 66 3 0
VODI 0 5 150 441 376 195 17 0
ODI 0 0 72 283 368 289 19 0
CDI 0 0 37 218 556 764 110 0
VCDI 0 0 38 331 815 2838 8219 4589


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