Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2016-12-22
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-12-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
760 |
727 |
1119 |
440 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
65 |
133 |
674 |
461 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
10 |
53 |
469 |
739 |
186 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
163 |
893 |
400 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
95 |
737 |
681 |
99 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
658 |
3941 |
8352 |
23872 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
522 |
447 |
602 |
497 |
141 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
124 |
153 |
545 |
463 |
177 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
19 |
95 |
406 |
520 |
367 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
34 |
149 |
692 |
359 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
133 |
775 |
1007 |
58 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
86 |
683 |
4128 |
9020 |
23655 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
722 |
437 |
105 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
34 |
422 |
185 |
202 |
39 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
253 |
464 |
232 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
621 |
354 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
637 |
1570 |
58 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
346 |
4662 |
9495 |
24953 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-12-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
44 |
179 |
218 |
81 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
23 |
156 |
280 |
221 |
86 |
17 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
16 |
259 |
340 |
312 |
42 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
98 |
303 |
363 |
17 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
325 |
826 |
41 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
227 |
5300 |
12747 |
23310 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
45 |
220 |
256 |
112 |
13 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
22 |
98 |
267 |
185 |
92 |
39 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
248 |
326 |
256 |
16 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
321 |
372 |
16 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
290 |
820 |
38 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
263 |
5338 |
12751 |
23310 |
|
Date: 2016-12-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
27 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
176 |
167 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
210 |
432 |
290 |
42 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
88 |
250 |
485 |
51 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
230 |
812 |
51 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
316 |
4656 |
14478 |
23002 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
76 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
141 |
138 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
200 |
382 |
284 |
59 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
94 |
244 |
446 |
26 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
208 |
809 |
46 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
374 |
4680 |
14491 |
23002 |
|
Date: 2016-12-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
121 |
38 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
574 |
144 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
375 |
1563 |
82 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
127 |
4756 |
12440 |
25582 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
32 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
282 |
108 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
269 |
451 |
23 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
304 |
859 |
186 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
228 |
5011 |
12313 |
25580 |
|
Date: 2016-12-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
279 |
601 |
1 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
473 |
6901 |
10736 |
26782 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |
222 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
164 |
965 |
19 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
429 |
6273 |
10718 |
26781 |
|
Date: 2016-12-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
222 |
270 |
212 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
447 |
5670 |
12871 |
26020 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
86 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
113 |
40 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
187 |
421 |
392 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
469 |
5362 |
12651 |
26029 |
|
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