Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81973 15359 1723 317 16 0 0 0
OW 0 3 80 197 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 205 131 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 125 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 259 233 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 125 2498 5351 225
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82714 14519 1640 329 8 0 0 0
OW 0 7 47 190 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 191 123 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 116 151 58 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 285 217 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 63 1828 5267 1238
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83521 13397 1900 356 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 15 230 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 163 158 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 211 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 258 323 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 2254 5558 503
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81521 15562 1328 568 22 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 168 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 100 196 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 159 69 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 153 410 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 497 6631 1518
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81521 15562 1328 560 33 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 169 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 101 167 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 183 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 153 435 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 484 6628 1518

Date: 2016-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81054 15855 1337 590 30 0 0 0
OW 0 0 25 189 88 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 159 138 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 99 88 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 219 220 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 125 3065 4804 858
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81054 15855 1337 549 26 0 0 0
OW 0 0 24 201 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 168 134 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 98 100 62 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 236 200 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 121 3119 4808 858

Date: 2016-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82582 14232 1255 541 18 0 0 0
OW 0 0 13 236 88 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 121 146 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 217 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 229 359 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 1147 6458 1301
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82582 14232 1244 537 87 0 0 0
OW 0 0 20 153 90 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 130 135 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 90 54 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 66 200 146 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 145 1304 6462 1301

Date: 2016-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79394 15356 1816 2001 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 21 229 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 143 135 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 179 17 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 337 149 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 83 1785 5308 1972
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79394 15356 1815 2018 70 0 0 0
OW 0 0 24 181 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 142 133 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 105 52 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 229 98 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 171 1775 5301 1972

Date: 2016-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79131 17070 1890 440 1 0 0 0
OW 0 20 26 263 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 167 130 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 152 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 92 311 37 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 303 3412 4074 1448
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79131 16998 1849 541 66 0 0 0
OW 0 91 70 191 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 188 149 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 88 144 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 260 111 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 225 3292 4067 1448


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