Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1519 11213 1117 116 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1437 616 326 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 200 708 198 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 247 520 222 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 396 1244 175 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 5256 6382 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 255 10782 2285 120 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1452 803 307 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 229 410 698 136 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 424 506 52 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 749 1018 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 5703 5980 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1902 9570 463 60 0 0 0 0
OW 50 1577 567 192 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1169 761 1167 90 8 0 0
ODI 0 40 0 180 874 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 322 1194 126 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3332 8356 41
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 294 10641 457 70 0 0 0 0
OW 88 1424 539 142 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 1066 903 1389 167 9 0 0
ODI 0 68 34 316 687 212 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 11 247 933 287 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4197 7439 458
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 382 10894 508 82 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1053 452 114 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1164 940 1249 133 7 0 0
ODI 0 90 34 460 573 114 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 391 962 312 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 4268 7414 458

Date: 2016-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 189 9011 1497 89 0 0 0 0
OW 154 1368 409 101 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 1169 772 1720 101 11 1 0
ODI 0 91 54 505 793 173 36 0
CDI 0 6 0 30 246 738 418 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 4223 8160 5
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 294 9294 1579 111 0 0 0 0
OW 49 958 335 153 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 1238 675 1503 79 1 0 0
ODI 0 155 143 661 692 75 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 377 666 353 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 4403 8255 5

Date: 2016-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 300 10252 1378 80 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1205 718 278 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 323 467 1714 156 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 0 147 1339 48 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 230 1129 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 6113 6114 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 240 9521 1202 87 1 0 0 0
OW 60 828 389 120 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1202 695 873 130 2 2 0
ODI 0 225 271 1095 777 46 11 0
CDI 0 23 6 52 685 577 38 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 134 6665 6125 0

Date: 2016-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 998 9200 566 107 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1013 257 223 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 558 593 1635 305 23 0 0
ODI 0 7 53 785 1261 61 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 416 906 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 5780 7218 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 985 8502 400 64 22 0 0 0
OW 13 1247 268 121 75 22 0 0
VODI 0 884 478 799 156 0 0 0
ODI 0 144 293 1413 777 20 18 0
CDI 0 1 30 361 843 482 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 133 6246 7215 0

Date: 2016-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 7626 2421 125 1 0 0 0
OW 8 902 316 176 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 552 700 783 72 60 0 0
ODI 0 32 237 946 861 543 6 0
CDI 0 0 5 159 574 891 220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 72 1850 11294 641
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15 6980 2232 67 1 0 0 0
OW 0 842 349 91 3 53 0 0
VODI 0 1004 639 512 52 249 0 0
ODI 0 275 393 897 535 354 9 0
CDI 0 11 65 503 599 659 258 0
VCDI 0 0 1 121 390 2029 11253 641


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